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San Antonio (18-7) at New York (18-7)
- When: Dec 16 2025, 8:30 PM
- Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV, USA
- TV: Prime Video
San Antonio vs New York Preview & Prediction
Spread: New York -3.0
Moneyline: New York (-130)
Total: 234.5
New York Knicks
New York rolls into the NBA Cup final playing its best basketball of the season. The Knicks are scorching hot, winning nine of their last ten, and they look comfortable thriving in big moments. This run has been fueled by elite guard play, steady defense, and an offense that knows exactly where its best shots come from.
Jalen Brunson has been operating on another level lately. He controls tempo, hunts mismatches, and punishes defenses that hesitate for even a second. When New York gets into late game situations, there is no confusion about who has the ball or what the plan is. That clarity is a major reason the Knicks are laying three points here.
New York also benefits from postseason style experience. This roster understands physical games, half court possessions, and winning ugly if needed. In a neutral site environment like Las Vegas, that maturity matters. With the total sitting at 234.5, the Knicks ability to score efficiently without turning games reckless gives them an edge.
Player Prop Pick Knicks: Jalen Brunson over 29.5 points – Brunson’s usage and shot volume remain sky high, especially in games with stakes attached.
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio earned its way into this final by knocking off one of the league’s most dangerous teams, and the timing of Victor Wembanyama’s return could not have been better. The Spurs are finally healthy, finally whole, and finally seeing their long term vision come together on the floor.
Wembanyama instantly changed the game in the semifinal, dominating late and impacting both ends. His presence opens space for the guards, improves defensive rotations, and gives San Antonio a safety net when possessions break down. The Spurs have shown they can win without him, but with him available, their ceiling jumps dramatically.
The Spurs play with confidence and pace, and they are not intimidated by big stages. Their recent stretch shows growth in late game execution, and they have enough scoring options to keep pace in a projected high total game. Catching three points gives San Antonio breathing room if this turns into a possession by possession battle.
Player Prop Pick Spurs: Victor Wembanyama over 21.5 points and rebounds – His minutes and involvement rise in high leverage games, especially when San Antonio needs interior dominance.
Prediction and Betting Outlook
New York enters as a 3 point favorite for good reason. Their guard play, experience, and consistency late make them trustworthy in a close game. San Antonio will have moments, especially with Wembanyama imposing his will, but the Knicks ability to close should decide it.
The total of 234.5 suggests an up tempo game with stretches of offense, though finals often tighten late. Expect scoring early and controlled execution down the stretch.
Final Score: Knicks 121, Spurs 116
Lean: New York -3.0
Total: Over 234.5
- NBA Basketball Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
