- This page contains affiliate links. We may earn a commission at no extra cost to you.
Houston (43-28) at Minnesota (44-28)
- When: Mar 25 2026, 9:30 PM
- Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN, USA
- TV: ESPN
Houston vs Minnesota Preview & Prediction
Spread: Houston -2.0
Moneyline: Houston (-125)
Total: 223.5
Houston Rockets
Houston comes into this one in a tight Western race, and from a betting perspective, they’re still one of the more reliable offensive teams on the board. Kevin Durant continues to anchor everything, averaging 25.9 points on an efficient 52 percent shooting. When he’s locked in, the Rockets can dictate tempo and scoring stretches quickly.
Alperen Sengun provides balance inside with 20.4 points and 9.0 rebounds, while Amen Thompson adds another scoring layer. The concern is consistency. The loss to Chicago showed how quickly things can unravel when focus slips, especially defensively. Still, laying just 2.0 points suggests the market believes Houston can bounce back.
Player Prop Pick: Kevin Durant Over 26.5 Points
Durant’s volume and efficiency make him the most reliable scoring option in this matchup.
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota is quietly building momentum, and they’re doing it without Anthony Edwards. That’s impressive and dangerous for bettors fading them. Bones Hyland has stepped into a major role, averaging 20 points over his last four games while consistently knocking down threes.
Julius Randle now carries the scoring load at 21.0 points per game, and he’s been steady in keeping the offense afloat. Add in contributions from Jaden McDaniels and Naz Reid, and this team is finding ways to win through depth and defense.
The Timberwolves just took down Boston on the road, which speaks volumes about their current confidence. At home, they’ll look to control pace and lean on defense again.
Player Prop Pick: Julius Randle Over 21.5 Points
With Edwards out, Randle’s usage remains high, giving him a strong chance to lead the offense again.
Betting Prediction
This line is tight for a reason. Houston favored by 2.0 reflects talent, but Minnesota’s current form without Edwards makes them a dangerous opponent, especially at home.
The total at 223.5 points points toward a balanced scoring game. Houston has the firepower, while Minnesota has shown it can still produce offense while playing solid defense.
This feels like a back-and-forth battle where execution late will decide it. Houston’s top-end talent gives them a slight edge, but Minnesota’s momentum keeps this within reach.
Final Score: Rockets 115, Timberwolves 112
Lean: Houston -2.0
Total: Over 223.5
- NBA Basketball Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
