Connect with us

NFL

Cowboys vs Buccaneers NFL Wildcard Picks by John Ai

Advancing to the NFC divisional playoffs next weekend would require the Dallas Cowboys to do something they haven’t done before – defeat Tom Brady. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback is 7-0 against Dallas and already bested them earlier this season.

The Cowboys will travel to Tampa Bay for what promises to be an exciting matchup on Monday Night Football. Thanks to their division title win in the NFC South, the Buccaneers are at home in the first round of playoffs, while the Cowboys were second in their division behind the Philadelphia Eagles

Last time these two teams met was at the beginning of the season where the Bucs beat the Cowboys 19 to 3. Bucs also get back start center Ryan Jenson which is a huge plus for Tom Brady and the Bucs offensive line. He might be able to get some more time in the pocket with Jenson’s return as this has been the problem for the team off fence all season. Despite the betting trends being in favor of the Cowboys, we still think that Tom Brady and the Bucs can win this game at home. That said, I’m rolling with the Bucs to cover the spread at plus 2 and a half for today’s free pick.

Dallas at Tampa Bay

When: 8:15 PM ET, Monday, January 16, 2023
Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida
Where to watch: ABC, ESPN

Game Odds, Spread, Moneyline & Total

Dallas Cowboys @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Moneyline

Dallas Cowboys   -140
Tampa Bay Buccaneers   +120

Dallas Cowboys @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Point Spread

Dallas Cowboys   -2.5 (-115)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers   2.5 (-105)

Dallas Cowboys @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Total

Over   45.5 (-110)
Under   45.5 (-110)

Team Record & Betting Stats

Name Record ATS Offense Defense
Dallas 12-5 10-7 27.47 20.12
Tampa Bay 8-9 4-12-1 18.41 21.06
Name ATS Home ATS Away OU Record
Dallas 6-3 4-4 9-8
Tampa Bay 2-6-1 2-6 6-11

Dallas Cowboys Last 5 Games

Opponent score Result line ATS Result
WAS 6-26 L -7.5/41 L/U
TEN 27-13 W -13.5/40.5 W/U
PHI 40-34 W -4/48 W/O
JAC 34-40 L -4/48 L/O
HOU 27-23 W -17/44.5 L/O

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Last 5 Games

Opponent score Result line ATS Result
ATL 17-30 L 6/40.5 L/O
CAR 30-24 W -3.5/40.5 W/O
ARI 19-16 W -7.5/41.5 L/U
CIN 23-34 L 3.5/47.5 L/O
SF 7-35 L 3.5/38.5 L/O

Betting Odds Trends

Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas’s last 7 games
Dallas is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Dallas is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas’s last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas’s last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 2-12-1 ATS in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Tampa Bay is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay’s last 7 games when playing Dallas
Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay’s last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas

2025 Super Bowl LIX Odds

Dallas Injuries

Player Status/Updated
Demarcus Lawrence Prob Mon – Foot – 1/14/23
Tyron Smith Prob Mon – Knee – 1/14/23
Tyler Biadasz Prob Mon – Ankle – 1/12/23
Leighton Vander Esch Prob Mon – Shoulder – 1/12/23
Trayvon Mullen Out Mon – Illness – 1/14/23
Terence Steele I-R – Knee – 12/14/22
Johnathan Hankins Out indefinitely – Shoulder – 12/14/22
Anthony Brown I-R – Achilles – 1/9/23
Matt Farniok Ques Mon – Hamstring – 1/10/23
Jourdan Lewis I-R – Foot – 10/26/22
Matt Waletzko I-R – Shoulder – 10/22/22
Devin Harper Out indefinitely – Achilles – 10/29/22
Simi Fehoko Out indefinitely – Shoulder – 10/15/22
Rico Dowdle Out indefinitely – Ankle – 10/15/22
Devante Bond I-R – Knee – 7/8/22

Tampa Bay Injuries

Player Status/Updated
John Molchon Prob Mon – Ankle – 1/13/23
Mike Evans Prob Mon – Illness – 1/12/23
Donovan Smith Prob Mon – Foot – 1/12/23
Julio Jones Prob Mon – Knee – 1/12/23
Logan Ryan Prob Mon – Knee – 1/14/23
Mike Edwards Prob Mon – Hamstring – 1/12/23
Carlton Davis III Prob Mon – Shoulder – 1/12/23
Carl Nassib Prob Mon – Pectoral – 1/12/23
Russell Gage Ques Mon – Back – 1/10/23
Robert Hainsey Ques Mon – Hamstring – 1/10/23
Vita Vea Ques Mon – Calf – 1/10/23
Kyle Rudolph Doub Mon – Knee – 1/14/23
Nick Leverett Doub Mon – Knee – 1/14/23
Anthony Chesley I-R – Hamstring – 1/11/23
Josh Wells I-R – Knee – 1/1/23
Genard Avery Out indefinitely – Abdominal – 12/23/22
Shaquil Barrett I-R – Achilles – 11/1/22
Aaron Stinnie I-R – Knee – 8/22/22
Cam Gill I-R – Foot – 8/22/22
Ryan Jensen Ques Mon – Knee – 1/10/23

NFL Picks & Free Predictions

Expert Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2½ (-115)

NFL Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook

Top Sportsbooks

bovada logo
75% Welcome Bonus up to $750
betonline
50% Welcome Bonus Up to $1000
mybookie
100% Welcome Bonus up to $1,000
365betting
Weekly Promotions & Much More

More in NFL