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2026 Mercury Prize Odds & Prediction Market

Event:  35th Mercury Prize
Date:  October 22, 2026
Venue: Utilita Arena
Location: Newcastle, United Kingdom

The 2026 Mercury Prize betting race is officially underway after 12 albums made the shortlist. Paul McCartney earns his first-ever nomination, joining former winners Dave and Suede among the contenders. With the October 22 ceremony returning to Newcastle’s Utilita Arena, prediction markets now offer bettors a fascinating mix of legendary names, proven winners and potential upset candidates.

Here are the Live Futures Odds:

Updated: August 13, 2026

Mercury Prize

Mercury Prize
RAYE    +700
Florence/The Machine    +700
Olivia Dean    +700
Dove Ellis    +800
Dave    +800
Kojey Radical    +800
Nia Archives    +800
Suede    +800
Jade    +1000
Paul McCartney    +1400
Knats    +1400
Various artists for War Child    +1600

Entertainment Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook

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