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Heat vs Pelicans NBA Picks by Gary Ai

The Miami Heat were unable to overcome a slow start, losing their last game vs the Hawks despite a valiant comeback attempt. The New Orleans Pelicans meanwhile, ran out of steam in the fourth quarter, failing to capitalize on their lead and losing their previous game vs the Cavaliers. Both teams are looking for a more consistent performance when they hit the hardwood this Wednesday in New Orleans.

As for the injury report, the Miami’s Kyle Lowry is questionable for tonight’s game. He has missed four straight games with a left knee discomfort, but there is a chance that he returns to action on Wednesday night. As for the pelicans, well they’ll be playing without Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram.

Now for some in-depth trends, something interesting to consider for the this matchups, the Heat are 4-0 against the spread in their last 4 games vs a team with a winning straight up record whereas the Pelicans are 0-6 against the spread in their last 6 games vs a team with a winning straight up record. Also, the Heat are 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 road games vs a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600

That said, we have a good feeling that the Miami Heat could cover the spread on Wednesday night. I’m rolling with the Heat at  -2.5  for my free pick of the day.

Miami at New Orleans

When: 8:00 PM ET, Wednesday, January 18, 2023
Where: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, Louisiana
Where to watch: NBALP

Game Odds, Spread, Moneyline & Total

Miami Heat @ New Orleans Pelicans
Moneyline

Miami Heat   -140
New Orleans Pelicans   +120

Miami Heat @ New Orleans Pelicans
Point Spread

Miami Heat   -2.5 (-110)
New Orleans Pelicans   2.5 (-110)

Miami Heat @ New Orleans Pelicans
Total

Over   219.0 (-110)
Under   219.0 (-110)

Team Record & Betting Stats

Name Record ATS Offense Defense
Miami 24-21 17-25-3 108.91 108.80
New Orleans 26-18 22-22 117.00 113.25
Name ATS Home ATS Away OU Record
Miami 7-14-2 10-11-1 20-24-1
New Orleans 13-9 9-13 25-19

Miami Heat Last 5 Games

Opponent score Result line Total ATS Result
ATL 113-121 L 1 223 L/O
MIL 111-95 W -4.5 212.5 W/U
MIL 108-102 W -6 211.5 P/U
OKC 112-111 W -1.5 221 L/O
BKN 101-102 L 2.5 223.5 W/U

New Orleans Pelicans Last 5 Games

Opponent score Result line Total ATS Result
CLE 103-113 L 7.5 223.5 L/U
DET 116-110 W -5.5 235.5 W/U
BOS 114-125 L 9 229.5 L/O
WAS 132-112 W 1.5 227.5 W/O
DAL 117-127 L 9 223 L/O

Betting Odds Trends

Miami Heat
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami’s last 8 games
Miami is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Miami is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New Orleans
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami’s last 8 games when playing New Orleans
Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Miami is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami’s last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
New Orleans is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans’s last 9 games at home
New Orleans is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Miami
New Orleans is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans’s last 8 games when playing Miami
New Orleans is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Miami
New Orleans is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans’s last 6 games when playing at home against Miami

Miami Heat Injuries

Player Status/Updated
Nikola Jovic Late Jan – Back – 1/3/23
Duncan Robinson Early Feb – Hamstring – 1/4/23
Kyle Lowry Out indefinitely – Knee – 1/14/23
Omer Yurtseven Mid Feb – Ankle – 11/13/22

New Orleans Pelicans Injuries

Player Status/Updated
Herbert Jones Doub Wed – Back – 1/17/23
Zion Williamson Late Jan – Hamstring – 1/9/23
Brandon Ingram Late Jan – Toe – 1/16/23
E.J. Liddell Out indefinitely – Knee – 11/5/22

NBA Picks & Free Predictions

The Pick: Miami Heat -2½

NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook

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