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Spurs vs. Bucks Matchup Preview & Betting Breakdown

The Spurs and the Bucks will both be trying to pick up a win when they battle at Fiserv Forum.

(Photo by Getty Images) Giannis Antetokounmpo

San Antonio (18-18) at Milwaukee (18-16)

  • When: Jan 8 2025, 9:30 PM
  • Where: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI, USA
  • TV: ESPN

Game Odds, Spread, Moneyline & Total

San Antonio Spurs @ Milwaukee Bucks
Moneyline

San Antonio Spurs   +160
Milwaukee Bucks   -185

San Antonio Spurs @ Milwaukee Bucks
Point Spread

San Antonio Spurs   4.5 (-105)
Milwaukee Bucks   -4.5 (-115)

San Antonio Spurs @ Milwaukee Bucks
Total

Over   226.5 (-110)
Under   226.5 (-110)

Key Players:
San Antonio: Victor Wembanyama
Milwaukee: Giannis Antetokounmpo

Team Stats

Spurs   Bucks
18-18 Record 18-16
6-10 Away & Home 10-7
5-5 Last 10 5-5
L2 Streak W1

Last Matchup:
MIL 125-121, January 4th, 2024

The Milwaukee Bucks are favored by -4.5 points, with the total set at 226.5 as they prepare to host the San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday night in what promises to be a compelling matchup between Giannis Antetokounmpo and Victor Wembanyama.

Game Preview and Betting Analysis

The Bucks come into this game after a dominant 128-104 win over Toronto, with Giannis recording his fourth triple-double of the season despite suffering a hand injury. Antetokounmpo’s status is listed as probable, and despite receiving stitches for a cut near his pinky, he seems ready to go. Even in a “quiet” 11-point outing, Giannis made his presence felt with 13 assists and 12 rebounds, setting the tone for Milwaukee’s ball movement that led to 50% shooting from beyond the arc.

The Bucks’ supporting cast shined, with Damian Lillard dropping 25 points, Bobby Portis adding 20, and Gary Trent Jr. chipping in 17. With Khris Middleton still working his way back from injury, his status is also listed as probable. If he suits up, Milwaukee’s offensive firepower will be even stronger.

San Antonio’s Struggles

The Spurs, meanwhile, are coming off a heartbreaking 114-110 loss to the Bulls after blowing a 19-point lead in the third quarter. Victor Wembanyama was sensational with 23 points, 14 rebounds, and eight blocks, but San Antonio’s lack of discipline in the final minutes cost them. Interim coach Mitch Johnson emphasized that complacency and missed defensive assignments allowed Chicago to storm back with an 11-0 run to close the game.

Wembanyama was vocal about his frustrations with the team’s lack of maturity, acknowledging that their record reflects their growing pains. The young Spurs squad has shown flashes of brilliance but continues to struggle with consistency, especially late in games.

Key Matchups and X-Factors

Giannis Antetokounmpo vs. Victor Wembanyama: This is the marquee battle. Giannis’ ability to dominate inside and facilitate plays will test Wembanyama’s defensive instincts. The Spurs need Wembanyama to stay out of foul trouble to keep this game competitive.

Perimeter Shooting: Milwaukee shot 44 threes at a 50% clip against Toronto, thanks to Giannis’ playmaking. San Antonio’s defense must close out on shooters like Lillard and Portis, or the game could get out of hand early.

Composure in Crunch Time: The Spurs have repeatedly fallen apart late in games, while Milwaukee thrives in high-pressure moments. If the game stays close, the Bucks’ veteran leadership could be the deciding factor.

Betting Predictions

Spread Pick (-4.5): Milwaukee is the safer bet to cover. They have a deeper, more experienced roster and the home-court advantage. San Antonio’s tendency to collapse late makes them a risky play.

Total Pick (226.5): Both teams can score in bunches, and with Milwaukee’s three-point shooting and San Antonio’s pace, the over is an attractive pick. However, if the Bucks control the tempo and clamp down defensively, the under could still hit.

Prop Bets:

Giannis Antetokounmpo over 9.5 assists: Giannis’ passing has been on full display, especially if defenses key in on him scoring.

Victor Wembanyama over 3.5 blocks: Wemby’s shot-blocking ability has been a standout feature in recent games.

Damian Lillard over 24.5 points: Lillard’s scoring surge continues as he adapts to his role alongside Giannis.

Final Prediction:

The Bucks’ ball movement and three-point shooting, combined with Giannis’ all-around dominance, should allow them to cover the spread while Wembanyama keeps the Spurs competitive until late. Expect Milwaukee to control the pace and secure another solid home win.

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NBA Parlay Picks & Predictions

Final Score: Milwaukee 117-111
Expert Pick: Milwaukee -4½ (-115) & Over 226½
A $100 Parlay Bet will return $35

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