Milwaukee (19-16) at Orlando (22-16)
- When: Jan 10 2025, 7:00 PM
- Where: Kia Center, Orlando, FL, USA
- TV: FDSFL
Milwaukee heads into Friday’s matchup as a -6.5 favorite, with the total set at 210.0, facing an Orlando Magic team that may finally get some relief with the anticipated return of All-Star Paolo Banchero.
Game Preview & Betting Analysis
The Magic have been plagued by injuries this season, but Banchero’s return after a 34-game absence could be a turning point. Banchero was on fire before his injury, averaging 29 points per game through the team’s first five contests, including a 50-point performance on October 28. While his minutes will likely be limited as he eases back into action, his scoring presence will give Orlando a much-needed boost.
However, Orlando’s injury list remains extensive. Franz Wagner, who stepped up with 24.4 points per game during Banchero’s absence, has been out since early December. His brother Moritz Wagner is out for the season with an ACL tear, and Jalen Suggs (16.4 PPG) is still sidelined with a back strain. Without their top scorers, Orlando struggled mightily in their 104-89 loss to Minnesota on Thursday, shooting just 37.9% from the field and going 10-for-40 from beyond the arc.
Milwaukee’s Momentum
The Bucks come into this game riding a two-game winning streak, including a dominant 121-105 win over the Spurs. Giannis Antetokounmpo, the NBA’s second-leading scorer (31.3 PPG), continues to be a force on both ends of the court. In the win over San Antonio, Giannis posted 25 points, 16 rebounds, and eight assists, showcasing his versatility.
Head coach Doc Rivers praised the team’s defensive focus: “When our defense locks in, it leads to open looks on offense. If we force multiple stops, we create downhill opportunities and open threes.”
Damian Lillard has also been instrumental, averaging 24.8 points and 7.4 assists per game. He added 26 points and eight assists in the win over San Antonio, complementing Giannis’ playmaking abilities perfectly.
Key Matchups and Betting X-Factors
Banchero’s Return vs. Giannis’ Dominance: Even with Banchero’s return, Orlando may struggle to contain Giannis, who dropped 37 points the last time these teams met in December.
Orlando’s Shooting Woes: The Magic’s poor three-point shooting against Minnesota (25%) could be a red flag against a Bucks team that thrives in transition off defensive rebounds.
Lillard’s Impact: Lillard’s ability to stretch the floor with his perimeter shooting adds another dimension to Milwaukee’s offense, making it tough for Orlando’s injury-depleted defense to keep up.
Betting Predictions
Spread Pick (-6.5): Milwaukee’s defensive form and offensive chemistry between Giannis and Lillard make them a strong pick to cover the spread, especially against an Orlando squad still adjusting to Banchero’s return.
Total Pick (210.0): The total suggests a slower-paced game, but Milwaukee’s offensive efficiency and potential scoring from Banchero could push the total over. If Orlando finds their rhythm early, this could become a higher-scoring affair.
Prop Bets to Consider:
Giannis Antetokounmpo over 29.5 points: Giannis has thrived against Orlando and remains the focal point of Milwaukee’s offense.
Damian Lillard over 7.5 assists: Lillard’s passing continues to shine alongside Giannis, making this prop enticing.
Paolo Banchero under 20.5 points: In his first game back, Banchero’s minutes may be monitored, limiting his offensive output.
Final Score Prediction:
Milwaukee 112, Orlando 100. The Bucks’ defense and balanced scoring should be enough to cover the spread, while the Magic may need more time to reintegrate Banchero fully. Expect Milwaukee to control the tempo and secure another decisive victory.
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
