Oklahoma City (45-10) at Minnesota (31-26)
- When: Feb 23 2025, 9:30 PM
- Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN, USA
- TV: ESPN
Game Preview
Oklahoma City Favored by 9, Total Set at 229
The Oklahoma City Thunder are rolling, and they’ll look to extend their dominance when they visit the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday night. With OKC entering as a 9-point favorite and the total set at 229, this Western Conference matchup features two teams trending in different directions.
The Thunder have been one of the league’s hottest teams, winning eight of their last nine games, including a dominant 130-107 road victory over the Utah Jazz on Friday. Minnesota, meanwhile, has dropped three of its last four games and is still searching for consistency after some tough losses. This matchup marks the third meeting between these teams this season, with both sides having claimed a home win. After Sunday’s game, they’ll meet again Monday in Oklahoma City for the second half of a back-to-back.
Oklahoma City Thunder: Red-Hot and Ready to Dominate
The Thunder have been in rhythm on both ends of the floor, and their team chemistry has been a key factor in their recent success. Forward Jalen Williams spoke about the team’s growth, emphasizing their maturity and ability to prepare for games before stepping on the court. This focus has translated into efficient performances and consistent wins.
Oklahoma City’s offense is powered by MVP candidate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who leads the team with 32.2 points per game. Williams provides secondary scoring at 20.9 points per game, while rookie big man Chet Holmgren has been a difference-maker since returning from injury, averaging 15.1 points in his last 14 games.
One of the biggest adjustments for OKC has been its shift to a “two-big” lineup, pairing Holmgren with Isaiah Hartenstein. This change has added size and defensive versatility, making the Thunder even tougher to score against. While they had previously relied on a smaller, faster lineup, the ability to control the paint has helped balance their offensive and defensive attack.
Key Betting Trends for Oklahoma City:
Oklahoma City is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games
The Thunder have covered in four of their last five road games
The Under has hit in five of their last seven matchups against Minnesota
Minnesota Timberwolves: Struggling to Close Out Games
Minnesota has been competitive but inconsistent, with four of their last six losses coming by two points. Head coach Chris Finch has emphasized the need for better execution in clutch moments, pointing to shot selection and defensive rebounding as areas that must improve.
The Timberwolves’ biggest challenge is playing without second-leading scorer Julius Randle, who remains sidelined with a groin injury. While Anthony Edwards continues to lead the way with 27.6 points per game, Minnesota’s offense has lacked a consistent secondary scoring option. Naz Reid and Jaden McDaniels have tried to step up, but offensive efficiency has dipped in Randle’s absence.
Despite their recent struggles, Minnesota has already beaten OKC once this season, securing a 116-101 win at home on February 13. That result proved that they can compete with the Thunder when they execute their game plan. However, facing a red-hot OKC team with a depleted roster could make things much more difficult this time around.
Key Betting Trends for Minnesota:
The Timberwolves are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games as underdogs
Minnesota has failed to cover in three of its last four games
The Under has hit in four of their last five home games
Game Prediction & Best Bets
The Thunder are in much better form heading into this game, and with Minnesota struggling in the clutch and missing key players, it’s tough to see the Timberwolves keeping pace for a full 48 minutes.
OKC has been dominant against the spread, while Minnesota has failed to cover in three of its last four games. The Thunder’s improved defense and balanced scoring attack give them the clear edge.
Best Bets:
Oklahoma City -9 – The Thunder have the firepower and defensive presence to control this game.
Under 229 – Minnesota’s offense has been inconsistent, and OKC’s size should slow things down.
Oklahoma City First Half -5.5 – The Thunder should start strong and build an early lead.
Final Score Prediction: Oklahoma City 118, Minnesota 104
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
