Phoenix (30-34) at Memphis (40-24)
- When: Mar 10 2025, 8:00 PM
- Where: FedExForum, Memphis, TN, USA
- TV: AZFamily
Phoenix Suns at Memphis Grizzlies – Betting Preview & Predictions
Grizzlies Favored by 4.5 | Total Set at 244.0
Phoenix Suns
The Suns are making a late push for a spot in the play-in tournament, and Monday’s matchup against Memphis is a crucial one. Phoenix has won three of its last five games, including an impressive 125-116 victory over Dallas on Sunday. That win moved them just 1.5 games behind the Mavericks for the 10th and final play-in spot in the Western Conference.
Phoenix’s offense has been surging, shooting 58.3% from the field and dominating the glass against Dallas with a 46-32 rebounding advantage. Devin Booker led the charge with 24 points, while Kevin Durant added 21 points, nine rebounds, and eight assists. Their offensive efficiency has been strong, but time is running out for them to secure a postseason spot.
The Suns are looking to avenge their previous meeting with the Grizzlies, a wild 151-148 overtime loss in Memphis on Feb. 25. While their scoring output was impressive, defensive struggles remain a concern, which could be a factor against an aggressive Memphis squad.
Key Betting Trends:
- Phoenix is 3-2 ATS in its last five games.
- The Suns have struggled against the spread on the road, going just 14-18 ATS away from home.
- They have hit the Over in 8 of their last 12 games.
Memphis Grizzlies
The Grizzlies have gained momentum with back-to-back road wins following a rough four-game home losing streak. However, their shooting woes from deep continue to be an issue. In Sunday’s 107-104 win over New Orleans, Memphis shot just 13-of-49 (26.5%) from three-point range, putting additional pressure on their inside scoring and transition offense.
Ja Morant, still working his way back from a shoulder injury, has particularly struggled from beyond the arc, making just 10-of-60 threes (16.7%) over his last nine games. Despite those struggles, he has delivered in clutch moments, posting back-to-back 30+ point performances.
Desmond Bane has also stepped up in Jackson Jr.’s absence, nearly securing a triple-double against the Pelicans with 30 points, nine rebounds, and eight assists. His ability to take over in late-game situations has been a crucial factor in Memphis’ recent success.
Memphis has already shown they can edge out Phoenix, as seen in their high-scoring overtime win last month. However, without improved perimeter shooting, the Grizzlies could struggle to separate from the Suns, making this a closer contest than expected.
Key Betting Trends:
- Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games.
- The Grizzlies have hit the Over in 9 of their last 13 games.
- Memphis has covered in five of its last seven games against Phoenix.
Betting Prediction
This game is expected to be another high-scoring affair, given both teams’ recent form. The Suns are in must-win mode and have been efficient offensively, but their defensive inconsistencies could be exploited by Morant and Bane, who have delivered in big moments.
Memphis has the home-court advantage, but their poor shooting from deep is a concern, especially against a Suns squad that can pile on points quickly.
Pick: Suns +4.5 (Expect a close game, possibly decided in the final minutes)
Total: Over 244.0 – These teams combined for 299 points last time, and both offenses are capable of another high-scoring battle.
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
