LA Lakers (1-2) at Minnesota (2-1)
- When: Apr 27 2025, 3:30 PM
- Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN, USA
- TV: ABC
Lakers vs. Timberwolves Game 4 Betting Preview, Prediction & Breakdown
Spread: Minnesota -2.5 | Total: 208.5
Minnesota Timberwolves Outlook
The Timberwolves seized a crucial 2-1 series lead after a strong Game 3 performance, closing out the Lakers 116-104 at home. Now favored by 2.5 points for Game 4, Minnesota has a golden opportunity to push the Lakers to the brink before the series heads back to Los Angeles.
Anthony Edwards continues to lead the charge, averaging 25.3 points per game, and his confidence in the clutch moments has been a major difference-maker. Minnesota’s supporting cast is also stepping up—Julius Randle, Jaden McDaniels, and Naz Reid are all scoring in double figures and providing consistent pressure on both ends.
Turnovers have been a big edge for the Timberwolves. They’re taking care of the ball better than the Lakers, and that discipline has translated into crucial runs late in games. If Minnesota stays sharp and keeps the ball moving, they’re in a strong spot to cover the short spread and take full control of the series.
Los Angeles Lakers Outlook
The Lakers are fighting an uphill battle but remain dangerous with LeBron James leading the charge. James was electric in Game 3, dropping 38 points and hitting five threes to keep Los Angeles within striking distance most of the night. However, LeBron can’t do it alone.
A major concern is the health of Luka Doncic, who struggled with a stomach illness in Game 3 and shot just 6-for-16 from the field. Doncic is still averaging 28.3 points per game in the series, but if he’s not at full strength, the Lakers’ offense could suffer.
Austin Reaves is trying to provide a spark as the third option but hasn’t been as efficient from deep, hitting just 32% of his threes compared to 37.7% in the regular season. The Lakers’ biggest issue, though, is their sloppiness—they’re averaging over 15 turnovers per game, gifting the Timberwolves easy transition points.
If the Lakers want to even the series, they need a cleaner, more controlled game, especially in the half-court offense.
Prediction
Minnesota’s balance, defensive energy, and home-court momentum give them the edge in Game 4. With Doncic’s status in question and the Lakers battling turnover issues, the Timberwolves should capitalize and move one step closer to advancing.
Pick: Timberwolves -2.5
Prediction: Minnesota 108, Los Angeles 104
Lean: Over 208.5 – With both teams capable of scoring in bunches and some looseness late, the total has a good chance of creeping past the number.
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
