Minnesota (2-1) at Golden State (1-2)
- When: May 12 2025, 10:00 PM
- Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA, USA
- TV: ESPN
Timberwolves vs. Warriors – Game 4 Preview, Prediction, and Player Props
Spread: Timberwolves -5.0 | Total: 200.5
Minnesota Timberwolves
The Minnesota Timberwolves have capitalized on Stephen Curry’s absence, taking control of the series with back-to-back wins. After dropping Game 1 in San Francisco, the Timberwolves bounced back with a commanding 117-93 victory at home and followed that up with a gritty 102-97 win in Game 3. Anthony Edwards has been the star of the show for Minnesota, dropping 36 points in Game 3, including 15 in the third quarter alone. Edwards caught fire from deep, knocking down three triples in the final period and spearheading a 33-24 run that sealed the deal for the Timberwolves.
Supporting him has been Naz Reid, who has emerged as a deep-threat marksman in the series. Reid shot 3-for-3 from beyond the arc in Game 3 and currently leads the Timberwolves in 3-pointers made with nine, boasting an impressive 50% shooting clip. Jaden McDaniels also contributed with a 3-for-4 performance from downtown. Minnesota’s ability to stretch the floor has been crucial, as they outpaced Golden State 13-for-34 in 3-point shooting, compared to the Warriors’ 10-for-23. The Timberwolves are 3-1 on the road in this postseason, showing they are more than capable of stealing another one in San Francisco.
Player Prop Picks for Timberwolves:
Anthony Edwards Over 27.5 Points – Edwards has been electric, and with Curry out, he has more room to operate. Look for another explosive scoring night.
Naz Reid Over 2.5 Made Threes – Reid’s shooting touch has been on fire, and he’s getting clean looks from deep. Bank on him to keep launching with confidence.
Golden State Warriors
The Warriors are in a tough spot without their star guard Stephen Curry, who is set to miss Game 4 as well. Despite the absence, Golden State showed resilience in Game 3, keeping it close before ultimately falling 102-97. Jonathan Kuminga was the standout for the Warriors, stepping up in Curry’s absence with a postseason career-high 30 points. Kuminga has been a revelation, making the most of his extended minutes and learning from veteran Jimmy Butler.
The Warriors struggled from long range in Game 3, attempting just 23 three-pointers well below their season average. While their shooting percentage was solid, the volume simply wasn’t there. With Curry out, the perimeter game takes a significant hit, and it was evident as Golden State failed to find the same rhythm they usually enjoy.
The key for Golden State will be Jonathan Kuminga continuing his impressive play and other role players stepping up to fill the scoring gap. Draymond Green and Buddy Hield will need to increase their offensive output if the Warriors hope to even the series.
Player Prop Picks for Warriors:
Jonathan Kuminga Over 17.5 Points – He’s taken on a major role with Curry out, and his confidence is growing. Expect another strong outing.
Buddy Hield Over 3.5 Made Threes – With Curry sidelined, Buddy needs to be the sniper. He should get plenty of looks from deep.
Jimmy Butler III Over 6.5 Rebounds – Butler’s rebounding presence will be crucial if Golden State wants to slow Minnesota’s second-chance opportunities.
Expert Prediction and Final Score:
Minnesota’s momentum is hard to ignore, and their depth has been crucial in Curry’s absence. Look for Edwards to continue his dominance, and for Minnesota’s sharpshooters to keep the pressure on Golden State. While the Warriors may battle hard at home, the Timberwolves’ edge in three-point shooting and Edwards’ scoring prowess give them the advantage.
Spread: Minnesota -5.0
Toral: Over 200.5
Final Score Prediction: Timberwolves 108, Warriors 102
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
