NY Mets (29-17) at NY Yankees (26-19)
- When: May 18 2025, 7:10 PM
- Where: Yankee Stadium, Bronx
- Where to watch: ESPN
Yankees vs. Mets – The Subway Showdown Continues
Yankees Moneyline Favorite: -168 | Total: 9.0
New York Yankees Overview
The Yankees are looking to seal the Subway Series after splitting the first two games. The atmosphere at Yankee Stadium has been electric, and now it’s time for the Bombers to flex their muscles in the rubber match. Aaron Judge has been steady, going 2-for-9 in the series, though he struggled on Saturday with an 0-for-5 performance, including three strikeouts. Despite the dip, Judge is still hitting .402, and the Yankees are banking on his power to resurface in this crucial game.
DJ LeMahieu and Cody Bellinger have also contributed with home runs, with Bellinger extending his hitting streak to 12 games. New York will turn to ace Max Fried (6-0, 1.11 ERA) to take the mound. Fried has been lights-out this season but is coming off back-to-back no-decisions. His last outing was a five-inning grind against the Mariners, allowing just one run. Historically, Fried has owned the Mets, boasting a 9-5 record with a 2.48 ERA in 23 appearances. Francisco Lindor is a mere 3-for-28 against him, which should bode well for the Yanks.
New York Mets Overview
The Mets evened the series with a gritty 3-2 win on Saturday, driven by Juan Soto’s timely single and stolen base, setting up Mark Vientos for a sacrifice fly. Soto, who signed a monstrous 15-year, $765 million deal with the Mets, is hitting just .252, but he’s had his moments, going 1-for-6 in his Yankee Stadium debut. The Mets will counter with David Peterson (2-2, 3.05 ERA), who has shown flashes of brilliance but has struggled against the Yankees in his career, holding a 6.23 ERA in three appearances.
The Mets will need offensive sparks from Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso, who both have had limited success against Fried. Soto, however, has been one of the few bright spots against the Yankees’ ace, going 9-for-27 in his career. If Peterson can keep things tight early, the Mets might have a shot to steal one on the road.
Player Props Picks:
Aaron Judge – Over 0.5 Home Runs: Judge is primed for a bounce-back game after a rough outing.
Juan Soto – Over 1.5 Total Bases: Soto has found success against Fried and should make an impact.
Expert Prediction and Final Score:
Prediction: Yankees take the rubber match with a 5-3 win, powered by a strong outing from Max Fried and clutch hitting from Judge and Bellinger.
Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Mets 3
Lean: NY Yankees -1.5 (+125)
Total: Under 9.0 (-120)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
