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Brewers vs Mets MLB Baseball Odds & Expert Picks

Citi Field has a contest on tap as Milwaukee and NY Mets will both be trying to pick up a win.

(Photo by Getty Images) Clay Holmes

Milwaukee (47-37) at NY Mets (48-37)

  • When: Jul 1 2025, 7:10 PM
  • Where: Citi Field, Flushing, Queens
  • Where to watch: SNY

Brewers vs Mets – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props

Moneyline: NY Mets -130
Total: 8.5
RunLine: NY Mets -1.5 (+163)

Milwaukee Brewers Outlook

Milwaukee enters this matchup sharp, having won 8 of their last 10. Despite a crushing extra-inning loss to Colorado on Sunday, the Brewers are red-hot offensively, putting up 7.8 runs per game over their last ten outings. This team has been mashing, and now they hit the road with momentum and playoff implications.

Freddy Peralta (8-4, 2.90 ERA) will toe the rubber, and he’s been dialed in. Not only is he top-10 in ERA, but he’s been dominant against the Mets, 3-0 with a 2.60 ERA in three career starts. His stuff has been electric lately, and he’s backed by a red-hot lineup.

Christian Yelich and Brice Turang are both on fire. Yelich has been especially lethal, batting over .400 during his 12-game hit streak while slugging over .700. This offense is no joke, and if Peralta continues to dominate, New York will need more than just a pep talk.

Brewers Player Props Picks:

Freddy Peralta Over 5.5 Strikeouts
Christian Yelich
Over 1.5 Total Hits, Runs and RBI’s

New York Mets Outlook

Things are bleak in Queens. The Mets have dropped 13 of 16 and just got embarrassed in Pittsburgh, surrendering 30 runs while scoring only four in a three-game sweep. Their offense is ice-cold, especially with runners in scoring position, where they rank dead last in the NL (.217 AVG).

Clay Holmes (8-4, 2.97 ERA) has been effective, but he’s also a bit erratic lately, walking 10 batters over his last two starts. While he’s near the top of the league in wins, he’s struggled against Milwaukee, posting a 6.64 ERA in 17 appearances.

Despite the noise, the Mets still have talent. Juan Soto is due for a big game and will need to set the tone early if New York wants to snap this skid.

Mets Player Props Picks:

Clay Holmes Over 1.5 Walks Issued
Juan Soto
to Hit a Home Run

Betting Prediction:

Milwaukee is the hotter team, with the stronger starter and more reliable offense right now. The Mets might find some energy at home, but it’s hard to trust their bats or bullpen at this point.

Final Score Prediction: Brewers 6, Mets 4
Lean: Milwaukee (+111)
Total: 
Over 8.5 (-103) 

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