San Francisco (46-41) at Arizona (43-43)
- When: Jul 3 2025, 9:40 PM
- Where: Chase Field, Phoenix
- Where to watch: ARID
Giants vs Diamondbacks – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Moneyline: San Francisco -123
Total: 9.0
RunLine: San Francisco -1.5 (+140)
San Francisco Giants Outlook
The Giants snapped a brief skid with a dramatic 10-inning, 6–5 win over Arizona on Wednesday and look to even the series in Thursday’s finale. San Francisco remains the slight road favorite as lefty Robbie Ray (8-3, 2.75 ERA) takes the hill. Ray began the season red-hot, winning his first seven starts, but has cooled off, logging just one win in his last six outings.
He’s coming off a tough-luck loss to the White Sox where he gave up only one run across six sharp innings, showcasing improved command and a return to form. This will be a revenge game of sorts, Ray spent over five years with the D-Backs and already beat them once this season, tossing six solid frames back in May.
Giants Player Prop Picks:
Robbie Ray Over 5.5 Strikeouts – He’s looked sharp lately and Arizona has had trouble putting balls in play against lefties.
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Total Bases – Lee’s contact skills are trending up, and he’ll benefit from facing a hittable arm in a hitter-friendly park.
Arizona Diamondbacks Outlook
The D-Backs dropped Game 3 of the series in extra innings after winning the first two. They’ll try to close strong behind Brandon Pfaadt (8-5, 5.38 ERA), who’s shown flashes but remains inconsistent month to month. After a red-hot April, his ERA ballooned in May and June. He labored through his last start with 35 pitches in the first inning alone, finishing with a no-decision against Miami.
Pfaadt is still looking for his first win against San Francisco, sitting at 0-3 in four tries with a 4.82 ERA. He also took the loss earlier this year when matched against Ray, giving up four runs over four innings.
Diamondbacks Player Prop Picks:
Brandon Pfaadt Under 16.5 Outs Recorded – His pitch count has been climbing early, and fatigue has been an issue.
Ketel Marte Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Marte is locked in at the plate and crushed a game-tying homer off Doval last night.
Final Prediction & Betting Angle
San Francisco’s edge on the mound and stronger bullpen makes them the safer bet here, especially with Ray back in rhythm. Arizona’s bullpen has been shaky, and Pfaadt continues to trend downward. Take the Giants runline and look for the Over 8.5 to cash in a desert ballpark that favors hitters.
Final Score Prediction: Giants 6, Diamondbacks 4
Lean: San Francisco -1.5 (+140)
Total: Over 8.5 (-105)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
