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Phoenix vs Golden State WNBA Props & Picks on Alyssa Thomas

The Phoenix Mercury and the Golden State Valkyries will meet on the field at Chase Center.

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Phoenix (14-6) at Golden State (10-10)

  • When: Jul 14 2025, 10:00 PM
  • Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA, USA
  • TV: AZFamily

Game Odds, Spread, Moneyline & Total

Phoenix Mercury @ Golden State Valkyries
Point Spread

Phoenix Mercury   2.5 (-115)
Golden State Valkyries   -2.5 (-105)

Phoenix Mercury @ Golden State Valkyries
Total

Over   158.5 (-115)
Under   158.5 (-105)

Phoenix Mercury @ Golden State Valkyries
Moneyline

Phoenix Mercury   +120
Golden State Valkyries   -140

Alyssa Thomas WNBA Preview & Props

Alyssa Thomas has been a gambler’s delight in 2025, consistently stuffing the stat sheet and showing no fear attacking the rim. Her aggressive playstyle and leadership keep her in the action every night. Whether it’s fast breaks, post moves, or clutch buckets, she’s always a threat to go off and sharp bettors know it.

Phoenix Mercury @ Golden State Valkyries
Total Points – Alyssa Thomas (PHO)

Over   15.5 (-125)
Under   15.5 (-105)

Phoenix Mercury @ Golden State Valkyries
Points Milestones – Alyssa Thomas (PHO)

To Score 10+ Points   -900
To Score 15+ Points   -175
To Score 20+ Points   +200
To Score 25+ Points   +700
To Score 30+ Points   +1800

Phoenix Mercury @ Golden State Valkyries
Total Rebounds – Alyssa Thomas (PHO)

Over   8.5 (+115)
Under   8.5 (-150)

Phoenix Mercury @ Golden State Valkyries
Rebounds Milestones – Alyssa Thomas (PHO)

To Record 6+ Rebounds   -550
To Record 8+ Rebounds   -140
To Record 10+ Rebounds   +155
To Record 12+ Rebounds   +460
To Record 14+ Rebounds   +1200

Phoenix Mercury @ Golden State Valkyries
Total Assists – Alyssa Thomas (PHO)

Over   8.5 (-150)
Under   8.5 (+115)

Phoenix Mercury @ Golden State Valkyries
Assists Milestones – Alyssa Thomas (PHO)

To Record 6+ Assists   -1100
To Record 8+ Assists   -250
To Record 10+ Assists   +105
To Record 12+ Assists   +300
To Record 14+ Assists   +900

Phoenix Mercury @ Golden State Valkyries
To Record a Double-Double

Alyssa Thomas (PHO)   -150

Phoenix Mercury @ Golden State Valkyries
To Record a Triple-Double

Alyssa Thomas (PHO)   +420

Alyssa Thomas Statistics

Games 15
Points/Game (PPG) 15.3
Rebounds/Game (RPG) 7.5
Assists/Game (APG) 9.5

Alyssa Thomas Last 10

Date vs Score Min Pts Ast Reb
7/9 MIN 79-71 33:54 29 5 8
7/7 DAL 102-72 29:20 15 15 10
7/3 DAL 89-98 33:34 9 10 7
6/29 LV 81-84 33:19 16 8 7
6/27 NY 106-91 31:18 17 15 9
6/21 CHI 107-86 21:10 11 8 3
6/19 NY 89-81 27:24 18 7 15
6/18 CON 83-75 30:41 14 11 8
6/15 LV 76-70 29:21 14 13 6
6/11 DAL 93-80 23:35 11 10 2

WNBA Player Props Picks & Predictions

Alyssa Thomas has been dialed in offensively, consistently pushing the tempo and taking control when it matters. Against the Valkyries, expect her aggressive drives, midrange touch, and physicality in the paint to shine. With Golden State’s defense vulnerable in transition, Thomas has a prime opportunity to power past the 15.5-point mark and deliver another strong outing.

Alyssa Thomas Props Pick: Total Points – Over 15.5 (-125)
A $125 Bet on that Props will return $225

WNBA Odds & Props source: Bovada Sportsbook

2026 NBA Championship Odds

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