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Mets vs Giants MLB Baseball Odds & Expert Picks

NY Mets and San Francisco will both be trying to pick up a win when they battle at Oracle Park.

(Photo by Getty Images) Kodai Senga
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NY Mets (61-44) at San Francisco (54-51)

  • When: Jul 27 2025, 7:10 PM
  • Where: Oracle Park, San Francisco
  • Where to watch: ESPN

Mets vs Giants – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props

Moneyline: NY Mets -118
Total: 8.0
RunLine: NY Mets -1.5 (+140)

New York Mets Betting Outlook

The Mets are riding momentum into the series finale after back-to-back wins against the Giants, outscoring them 10-2 while showcasing dominant pitching. Both Clay Holmes and David Peterson limited San Francisco to a single run each, while the bullpen has been lights-out, giving up just four hits over seven shutout innings across the two victories.

New York bolstered its bullpen by adding All-Star lefty Gregory Soto from the Orioles. Soto, known for his high-velocity fastball and success in pressure situations, could make his Mets debut in this game. Kodai Senga (7-3, 1.79 ERA) will start for New York, continuing to build up pitch count after recovering from a hamstring strain. He’s 6-0 in his last six starts, with the Mets winning every time he takes the mound.

Mets Player Prop Pick:
Kodai Senga
Over 4.5 Strikeouts – His sharp splitter and command can challenge the Giants’ lineup even in a shorter outing.

San Francisco Giants Betting Outlook

San Francisco finds itself trying to salvage the finale after a pair of lackluster offensive efforts. The Giants have mustered only two runs in the first two games, a concerning trend given that their rotation is currently in flux. With Hayden Birdsong and Landen Roupp unavailable, manager Bob Melvin will turn to a bullpen game, starting left-hander Matt Gage (0-0, 0.00 ERA).

Gage, making his first career MLB start, has been solid in relief for the Giants, allowing just one hit across four scoreless innings since joining the team. San Francisco’s bullpen has been its strength this season, ranking second in MLB with a 3.18 ERA, but they’ll need the bats to wake up if they want to avoid a sweep.

Giants Player Prop Pick:
Heliot Ramos
to Record a Hit – Ramos has been one of the few consistent offensive weapons in San Francisco’s lineup lately.

Game Prediction & Betting Lean

The Mets’ current form and Senga’s reliability give them a strong edge, even if it turns into a bullpen battle. San Francisco’s offense simply hasn’t shown enough to take down New York’s depth.

Final Score Prediction: Mets 5, Giants 3
Lean: NY Mets -1.5 (+140)
Total: 
Under 8.5 Alt Lines (-130) 

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