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Indiana (17-13) at Phoenix (18-11)
- When: Aug 7 2025, 10:00 PM
- Where: PHX Arena, Phoenix, AZ, USA
- TV: WTHR-13
Indiana vs Phoenix – WNBA Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Spread: Phoenix -4.0 | Total: 172.5
Phoenix Mercury Betting Breakdown
Phoenix is coming into Thursday’s rematch with a chip on their shoulder after Indiana got the best of them last week. Alyssa Thomas is doing everything short of selling popcorn, posting back-to-back triple-doubles, a first in WNBA history. Her all-around dominance has become the heart of this Mercury team, and with Satou Sabally back in the lineup and firing on all cylinders, the offense is dangerous again.
Phoenix’s 82-66 dismantling of Connecticut on Tuesday was a statement. Their defense locked in, their ball movement was crisp, and Thomas once again proved she’s the ultimate playmaker. Expect the Mercury to push the pace and test Indiana’s transition defense, especially without Caitlin Clark on the floor.
Player Prop Pick – Phoenix: Alyssa Thomas Over 8.5 Assists – She’s quarterbacking the offense with ease, and against a Fever team that struggled to contain her vision last game, this number looks beatable.
Indiana Fever Betting Breakdown
The Fever may be missing their franchise face, but they haven’t lost their bite. Despite Caitlin Clark sitting out her eighth straight game, Indiana dropped 107 on Phoenix in their last matchup and racked up 100+ again in Tuesday’s loss to the Sparks.
Aari McDonald has taken command in the backcourt, and Kelsey Mitchell is lighting it up, 34 points last game and looking confident in every shot. But that defense? That’s a different story. Indiana allowed LA to shoot 56% and got out-rebounded, which doesn’t bode well against Phoenix’s high-motor frontcourt.
Player Prop Pick – Indiana: – Kelsey Mitchell Over 19.5 Points – She’s in pure bucket-getting mode and Phoenix’s perimeter defense can be exploited again.
Expert Prediction
Phoenix is rolling, and with revenge on their minds and Alyssa Thomas in beast mode, it’s hard to see them slipping up again. Indiana has offensive firepower, but defensively they just don’t have enough without Clark.
Best Bet: Phoenix -4.0
Toral: Under 172.5
Final Score Prediction: Phoenix 89, Indiana 81
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
