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Toronto Bats Wake Up, Miami Hits the Snooze

Blue Jays vs Marlins betting preview with odds, analysis, injuries and score prediction for Saturday’s matchup in Miami.

(Photo by Getty Images) Janson Junk
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Toronto (75-54) at Miami (60-68)

  • When: Aug 23 2025, 4:10 PM
  • Where: loanDepot park, Miami
  • Where to watch: FDSFL

The Blue Jays Chase Wins, Marlins Chase Excuses

MoneylineToronto (-141)
RunlineToronto -1.5 (+125)
Total: 8.0

Toronto Blue Jays: The Road Warriors Who Can’t Decide If They Like the Road

The Blue Jays come into Miami as -141 favorites and first place in the AL East. That’s the good news. The bad news? They’re a dead-even 33-33 on the road, as reliable as a coin flip with trust issues.

Jose Berríos gets the ball, carrying a 9-5 record and a 4.00 ERA that screams, “Hey, I’m good… but not too good.” Still, when the Blue Jays crank out eight or more hits, they’re 60-23, which basically means their bats decide if Berríos looks like an ace or just a guy with great hair.

With Vladimir Guerrero Jr. sidelined indefinitely by a hamstring injury, the Blue Jays will lean on others to carry the offense. Alejandro Kirk has stepped up lately, heating up like a leftover empanada with three homers and nine RBIs over his last 10 games. Toronto’s depth will be tested until Guerrero Jr. returns

Miami Marlins: The Team That Wins Only When the Hit Parade Shows Up

The Marlins sit at 60-68, looking like the friend who swears they’ll start going to the gym “next Monday.” At home, they’re 29-34 and that’s with the beach weather.

Janson Junk (great name, by the way) takes the mound with a 6-2 record and a 4.04 ERA. When he’s on, Miami fans feel alive. When he’s off, it’s time to check how the Dolphins are doing.

The Marlins have one glaring trend: when they out-hit opponents, they’re nearly unbeatable at 49-10. Problem is, when they don’t? Well, let’s just say you can turn the TV off early.

The Tale of the Tape

Toronto’s last 10 games: 6-4, outscoring teams by 12 runs. Miami’s last 10: 3-7, outscored by five. One looks like a playoff team finding rhythm, the other looks like they’re trying to find car keys in the dark.

Prediction:

The Jays’ bats wake up, Berríos does just enough, and the Marlins remind everyone that “out-hitting opponents” is a pretty basic requirement they still struggle with.

Final Score Prediction:  Blue Jays 6, Marlins 3
Bets Bet: Toronto -1.5 (+125) 
Total:  Over 8.0 (-115) 

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