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Steelers vs Jets Odds, Picks and Betting Preview

Expert Steelers vs Jets betting breakdown with odds, analysis, and score prediction for Sunday’s NFL Week 1 matchup.

(Photo by Getty Images) Aaron Rodgers
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Pittsburgh (0-0-0) at NY Jets (0-0-0)

  • When: Sep 7 2025, 1:00 PM
  • Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
  • Where to watch: CBS
  • Last Meeting: PIT 37-15, October 20th, 2024

Pittsburgh vs NY Jets Preview & Prediction

Spread: Pittsburgh -3.0
Moneyline: Pittsburgh -160
Total: 38.0

Pittsburgh Steelers: Rodgers’ New Chapter

The Steelers roll into Week 1 as a slight -3.0 favorite, and much of the spotlight is on Aaron Rodgers. Two years removed from his Achilles injury in this same stadium, Rodgers is once again rewriting his story, only this time in black and gold.

Rodgers brings experience and pedigree, but skeptics point out Pittsburgh’s failed experiment with Russell Wilson just a year ago. The question remains: can Rodgers spark an offense that’s been stuck in neutral during the postseason for nearly a decade?

Defensively, Pittsburgh still leans on Cam Heyward up front, despite his offseason contract frustrations. Add in Mike Tomlin’s steady leadership, and the Steelers should be tough to beat in the trenches. If Rodgers plays clean, Pittsburgh has enough balance to grab the early-season edge.

New York Jets: Fields Gets the Call

The Jets, listed as a +3.0 underdog, have hit the reset button yet again. Enter Justin Fields, who ironically spent last season in the Steelers’ quarterback room. He now has the task of snapping New York’s 14-year playoff drought.

Fields has talent around him, Breece Hall in the backfield and Garrett Wilson out wide, but the Jets’ offensive line injuries are a major red flag. Losing Alijah Vera-Tucker is a crushing blow, and that mismatch up front could be exploited by Pittsburgh’s defensive front.

Sauce Gardner anchors the defense and will likely make Rodgers’ life harder than he’d like. But unless New York controls the tempo, this game has the makings of another uphill battle for the Jets.

Prediction: Steelers Grind Out the Win

The betting market reflects the uncertainty, a modest total set at 38.0 signals a defensive grind. Expect both teams to lean on their defenses early, with Rodgers’ poise and Tomlin’s game management proving decisive late.

Pittsburgh does just enough to cover, while the under looks live in what could be a scrappy, low-scoring opener.

Final Score:  Steelers 20, Jets 16
Lean: Pittsburgh -3.0
Total: 
Under 38.0 

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