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Toronto (82-60) at NY Yankees (79-63)
- When: Sep 7 2025, 1:35 PM
- Where: Yankee Stadium, Bronx
- Where to watch: YES
Blue Jays vs. Yankees – Game Betting Preview & Prediction
Moneyline: NY Yankees -154
Spread: NY Yankees -1.5 (+133)
Total: 8.5
New York Yankees Betting Outlook
For a while, Max Fried looked like he’d misplaced his All-Star form somewhere north of the border. July was brutal, Toronto tagged him twice as part of a stretch where he went 3-3 with a 6.80 ERA. But things have flipped. Over his last three outings, the lefty has looked dominant again, posting a 0.90 ERA with 18 strikeouts.
The Yankees have leaned on his consistency, and when Fried keeps opponents to one run or fewer (13 times this season), New York is 11-2. That’s money for bettors who ride the pinstripes in those spots. Add in Saturday’s win, and the Yankees are carrying some needed momentum into Sunday with a chance to trim the Blue Jays’ division lead to just two games.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Outlook
Toronto may have cooled off just a bit after Friday’s convincing win, but they still control the season series 8-4. They’ll turn to Max Scherzer on Sunday, though health is a question mark after recent back spasms. He’s been steady lately, 3-0 with a 3.91 ERA in his last four, but facing New York in the Bronx isn’t the easiest assignment.
The Blue Jays’ lineup remains a threat, with Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scorching hot at the plate (.520 over his last six games). However, the injury scare with Bo Bichette’s shin and Alejandro Kirk’s late-game substitution add a touch of uncertainty to Toronto’s offensive depth for this matchup.
MLB Prediction & Betting Angle
Fried’s resurgence gives the Yankees the edge here, especially at home with the series split on the line. Toronto’s bats can’t be ignored, but the healthier, sharper arm is on New York’s side.
Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Blue Jays 3
Pick: NY Yankees -1.5 (+133)
Total: Under 8.5 (-105)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
