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Texas vs Houston MLB Props & Picks on Merrill Kelly

The Texas Rangers and the Houston Astros will meet on the field at Daikin Park.

(Photo by Getty Images) Merrill Kelly
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Texas (79-72) at Houston (82-69)

  • When: Sep 16 2025, 8:10 PM
  • Where: Daikin Park, Houston
  • Where to watch: SCHN

Game Odds, Spread, Moneyline & Total

Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros
Moneyline

Texas Rangers   -122
Houston Astros   +102

Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros
Runline

Texas Rangers   -1.5 (+140)
Houston Astros   1.5 (-165)

Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros
Total

Over   7.5 (-115)
Under   7.5 (-105)

Merrill Kelly MLB Preview & Props

Merrill Kelly has been a cornerstone for Texas this season, showcasing command, durability, and strikeout consistency on the mound. His ability to mix pitches effectively keeps hitters guessing, while his poise in big-game situations provides reliability. Kelly’s steady performance has made him one of the Rangers’ most trusted arms in pressure spots throughout the campaign.

Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros
Total Strikeouts – Merrill Kelly (TEX)

Over   4.5 (-190)
Under   4.5 (+145)

Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros
Alternate Strikeouts – Merrill Kelly (TEX)

3+ Strikeouts   -2000
4+ Strikeouts   -490
6+ Strikeouts   +120
7+ Strikeouts   +250
8+ Strikeouts   +500
9+ Strikeouts   +1000

Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros
Total Hits Allowed – Merrill Kelly (TEX)

Over   5.5 (-110)
Under   5.5 (-130)

Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros
Total Earned Runs – Merrill Kelly (TEX)

Over   2.5 (EVEN)
Under   2.5 (-140)

Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros
Total Pitcher Walks – Merrill Kelly (TEX)

Over   1.5 (+125)
Under   1.5 (-165)

Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros
Total Pitcher Outs – Merrill Kelly (TEX)

Over   17.5 (-165)
Under   17.5 (+125)

Merrill Kelly Statistics

WL ERA IP K BB OBP
12-7 3.21 176.2 162 47 .268

Merrill Kelly Last 10

Date vs Res Score IP H R ER K BB HR P
9/10 MIL W 6-3 5.2 10 3 3 6 0 2 93
9/5 HOU ND 4-3 7.0 5 1 1 7 1 0 94
8/30 ATH W 9-3 6.1 6 3 3 2 0 2 79
8/24 CLE W 5-0 7.0 4 0 0 8 2 0 96
8/19 KC ND 2-5 6.0 2 2 2 3 0 2 71
8/13 AZ ND 4-6 6.0 7 2 2 5 1 1 99
8/8 PHI L 1-9 4.1 5 4 4 4 5 2 94
8/2 SEA ND 6-4 5.2 4 2 2 6 0 0 69
7/26 PIT (AZ ) L 0-2 6.2 6 2 1 3 1 1 99
7/20 STL (AZ ) W 5-3 6.0 3 2 2 5 4 0 97

MLB Player Props Picks & Predictions

Merrill Kelly’s command and strikeout ability make him a strong candidate to clear six punchouts. Houston’s lineup has shown swing-and-miss tendencies, and with Kelly’s consistency working deep into games, the +120 alternate strikeout line offers solid betting value in this matchup.

Merrill Kelly Props Pick: Alternate Strikeouts – 6+ Strikeouts (+120)
A $100 Bet on that Props will return $220

MLB Odds & Props source: Bovada Sportsbook

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