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Cleveland (1-4-0) at Pittsburgh (3-1-0)
- When: Oct 12 2025, 1:00 PM
- Where: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
- Where to watch: CBS
- Last Meeting: PIT 27-14, December 8th, 2024
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh Preview & Prediction
Spread: Pittsburgh -6.0
Moneyline: Pittsburgh (-280)
Total: 38.5
The AFC North is about to get spicy again as the Pittsburgh Steelers look to defend their turf against the Cleveland Browns in one of football’s nastiest rivalries. Pittsburgh enters as the favorite, but in a division this chaotic, no one is ever safe, especially when Aaron Rodgers is under center.
Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Outlook
Pittsburgh (3-1) sits atop the division and has quietly built momentum, even if Mike Tomlin refuses to call it that. The Steelers didn’t even need to play last week to extend their edge, watching the rest of the AFC North trip over itself.
Still, this group hasn’t exactly looked dominant. The defense is making big plays but also giving up more yards than Tomlin would like, and the offense remains a work in progress under Rodgers. Yet somehow, Pittsburgh keeps stacking wins, the mark of a team that knows how to survive ugly games.
Rodgers may not be lighting up scoreboards, but he’s brought an aura of calm and command that was missing in past seasons. Expect Pittsburgh to rely on the ground game early before Rodgers starts dissecting Cleveland’s secondary late. The Steelers have won 18 of their last 19 home meetings with the Browns, and Acrisure Stadium has been a graveyard for Cleveland’s hopes since 2004.
Cleveland Browns Betting Outlook
Cleveland (1-4) is running out of excuses. Their defense has been elite, but the offense continues to look allergic to the end zone. Rookie quarterback Dillon Gabriel was decent in his first start last week, but “decent” won’t cut it against one of the league’s most experienced defensive units.
Running back Quinshon Judkins provides a rare bright spot, giving the Browns some life on the ground. However, this offense hasn’t cracked 20 points in 10 straight games, a streak that has fans wondering if the scoreboard operator even remembers how to light up Cleveland’s side.
Defensively, the focus is on Myles Garrett, who has made a career of terrorizing quarterbacks. He’s recorded 13 sacks in 15 games against Pittsburgh, and if the Browns want any chance at pulling an upset, he’ll need to live in the backfield.
Still, Cleveland’s offensive inconsistency and inability to close games make it hard to trust them on the road, especially in a building where their nightmares never seem to end.
Final Score Prediction & Betting Outlook
Pittsburgh’s defense and home-field edge will prove too much for a struggling Cleveland offense. Aaron Rodgers manages the game efficiently, while the Browns’ scoring woes continue on the road. Expect a gritty, low-scoring divisional battle that stays under the total.
Final Score: Steelers 20, Browns 13
Lean: Pittsburgh -6.0
Total: Under 38.5
- NFL Football Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
