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Cleveland (2-5-0) at New England (5-2-0)
- When: Oct 26 2025, 1:00 PM
- Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
- Where to watch: FOX
- Last Meeting: NE 38-15, October 16th, 2022
Cleveland vs New England Preview & Prediction
Spread: New England -7.0
Moneyline: New England (-380)
Total: 40.5
New England Patriots: Road Warriors Looking to Finally Protect Home Turf
The New England Patriots have been tearing through the AFC like a caffeine-fueled freight train, winning five of their last six games to climb atop the division. But for some strange reason, Gillette Stadium hasn’t been friendly, the Pats are 4-0 on the road and just 1-2 at home.
Head coach Mike Vrabel knows that has to change. He’s made it clear this week: no more sloppy preparation, no more slow starts, and no more excuses.
Quarterback Drake Maye has been as steady as they come, stringing together six straight games with at least 200 passing yards and a triple-digit passer rating, joining elite company with names like Brady, Rodgers, Manning, and Mahomes. But this week’s test will be brutal. The Browns own the league’s stingiest defense, allowing just 256 yards per game, and Maye will have to stay upright against one-man wrecking crew Myles Garrett.
Garrett versus rookie left tackle Will Campbell will be the matchup to watch. Campbell’s been solid but not flawless, and any slip-up against Garrett’s relentless speed could turn into a long afternoon for Maye.
Still, New England’s defense remains the foundation of their success. Ranked second in the NFL against the run, the Patriots haven’t allowed a single back to hit 50 yards rushing all season — a streak that screams discipline and toughness.
Cleveland Browns: Defense Dominates, Offense Still Finding Its Identity
Cleveland finally got a spark last week, throttling Miami 31-6 behind quarterback Dillon Gabriel, who picked up his first NFL win. Gabriel’s done a great job protecting the football (no picks in three starts), but his deep ball accuracy has been, well, a work in progress.
Head coach Kevin Stefanski insists Gabriel will stay aggressive, but facing New England’s disciplined defense on the road is a different beast. The Browns’ best hope is for running back Quinshon Judkins to keep grinding, he’s been held under 60 yards just once in six games but even that’s easier said than done against a defense built to stop the run.
Cleveland’s defense, however, continues to shine. The Browns forced four turnovers last week and turned them into 21 points. If they can repeat that opportunistic formula, they’ll have a fighting chance against a Patriots offense that prefers to control tempo rather than light up the scoreboard.
Final Score Prediction
The Browns’ defense will make life difficult for Drake Maye, but the Patriots’ balance, discipline, and home motivation give them the edge. Expect a physical, grind-it-out contest that looks more like an AFC North brawl than an AFC East tilt.
Final Score: Patriots 24, Browns 16
Lean: New England -7.0
Total: Under 40.5
- NFL Football Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
