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No. 18 Oklahoma vs No. 14 Tennessee Betting Preview and Pick

Tennessee hosts Oklahoma in a high-scoring SEC clash. Get expert odds, trends & prediction.

(Photo by Getty Images) Joey Aguilar
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Oklahoma (6-2) at Tennessee (6-2)

  • When: Nov 1 2025, 7:30 PM
  • Where: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN
  • Where to watch: ABC

(18) Oklahoma vs (14) Tennessee Preview & Prediction

Spread: Tennessee -2.5
Moneyline: Tennessee (-130)
Total: 55.5

Tennessee Volunteers Betting Outlook

Tennessee enters this showdown as one of the most explosive offenses in college football, ranking second nationally in scoring (45.6 points per game) and third in total yardage (over 510 yards per contest). Quarterback Joey Aguilar has been the engine behind the Volunteers’ high-octane attack, throwing for 2,344 yards and 18 touchdowns while keeping the ball moving efficiently through the air.

Coach Josh Heupel, who once led Oklahoma to a national title as a player, knows this will be no walk in Neyland Stadium. The Vols just dropped 56 points on Kentucky but also gave up 476 yards, a reminder that this offense-heavy team can still spring leaks defensively.

The challenge for Tennessee will be staying balanced. The offensive line must protect Aguilar from an aggressive Oklahoma front that ranks second nationally in sacks. Expect Heupel to mix in tempo, quick throws, and designed rollouts to keep the Sooners’ defense guessing.

If the Volunteers can keep Aguilar upright and limit turnovers, their scoring firepower and home-field energy could tilt the game in their favor.

Oklahoma Sooners Betting Outlook

Oklahoma’s season has been a roller coaster, flashes of elite defense, followed by inconsistency on offense. The Sooners have held opponents to just 12.5 points per game, ranking sixth nationally, and their front seven has been relentless with 3.6 sacks per contest. But they’ve also stumbled offensively, struggling to find rhythm on the ground or through the air.

Quarterback John Mateer has looked uneven since returning from a hand injury, and the Sooners’ run game ranks outside the top 90 nationally. Still, sophomore running back Xavier Robinson provided a spark last week with 109 yards and two touchdowns on just nine carries. If Oklahoma wants to pull the upset, Robinson’s physical style must keep Tennessee’s defense honest.

Coach Brent Venables’ defense will once again be the backbone. The Sooners’ ability to pressure Aguilar and disrupt passing lanes could determine whether this becomes a shootout or a defensive grind.

Final Score Prediction & Betting Outlook

This matchup is a fascinating chess game between two familiar faces, Heupel, the former Oklahoma quarterback, and Venables, his old defensive coordinator. Tennessee’s offense is a machine when firing on all cylinders, while Oklahoma’s defense thrives on physicality and discipline.

The Vols’ pace and home-field advantage give them an edge, but Oklahoma’s defense will make them earn every yard. Expect big plays both ways, especially late, before Tennessee’s firepower ultimately prevails.

Tennessee’s offense is too consistent to fade at home, while Oklahoma’s offensive struggles continue on the road. The Over 55.5 also looks live with both teams capable of explosive scoring stretches.

Final Score:  Tennessee 31, Oklahoma 27
Lean:  Tennessee +2.5
Total: 
Over 55.5 

2026 NCAA Men’s Championship

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