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Texas vs No. 6 Duke Prediction, Odds & Expert Betting Picks

Duke opens as an 8.5-point favorite over Texas in Charlotte. Expert prediction and game analysis

2025 Dick Vitale Invitational

Texas (0-0) vs Duke (0-0)

  • When: Nov 4 2025, 8:45 PM
  • Where: Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC, USA
  • Where to watch: ESPN

Texas vs (6) Duke Preview & Prediction

Spread: Duke -8.5
Moneyline: Duke (-420)
Total: 152.0

Duke Blue Devils Betting Outlook

The sixth-ranked Duke Blue Devils are entering another season with championship aspirations and a lineup full of fresh faces ready to make their mark. Head coach Jon Scheyer’s squad opens the campaign in Charlotte, where Duke has historically dominated neutral-site contests and they’ll look to continue that trend against a retooled Texas program.

Duke comes into this season as the ACC favorite after last year’s Final Four appearance. However, the Blue Devils lost several key players to the NBA, including Cooper Flagg and Kon Knueppel, leaving plenty of opportunities for the next wave of talent. Freshmen Cameron Boozer and Nikolas Khamenia headline the new class and are expected to start alongside returning contributors like Caleb Foster and Isaiah Evans.

Scheyer has stressed that this team’s strength lies in its lineup flexibility rather than sheer numbers. Expect Duke to run multiple rotations early as they search for rhythm. If the offense clicks early, this team is dangerous, especially with how well they can push the pace.

Texas Longhorns Betting Outlook

Texas begins the Sean Miller era after a 19-16 campaign that ended short of expectations. The Longhorns have been busy in the transfer portal, reloading with experienced playmakers and versatile wings to fit Miller’s fast-paced system.

Tramon Mark, the team’s sixth-year guard, returns as the offensive anchor after averaging double digits last season. He’s joined by Jordan Pope and Chendall Weaver in a backcourt that should test Duke’s new defensive rotations. Miller also brought along familiar faces from Xavier, Dailyn Swain and Lassina Traore, while adding size and depth with Purdue transfer Camden Heide and St. John’s product Simeon Wilcher.

The biggest offseason addition, though, might be Matas Vokietaitis, last year’s American Conference Freshman of the Year, who gives the Longhorns a legitimate interior presence. Miller’s goal is clear: play uptempo basketball, get out in transition, and keep Duke’s defense scrambling.

Expert Betting Prediction

Duke has the higher ceiling and the proven system, but this version of the Blue Devils is still learning how to play together. Texas, meanwhile, is a veteran group that can frustrate young teams with pace and physicality.

Expect a competitive first half, but Duke’s depth and shot-making should pull them clear late. Their versatility and athleticism are too much for a rebuilding Texas roster to handle over 40 minutes.

Final Score:  Duke 79, Texas 69
Lean:  Duke -8.5
Total: 
Under 152.0 

2026 NBA Championship Odds

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