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San Antonio (11-4) at Phoenix (10-6)
- When: Nov 23 2025, 8:00 PM
- Where: Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ, USA
- TV: AZFamily
San Antonio vs Phoenix Preview & Prediction
Spread: Phoenix -2.5
Moneyline: Phoenix (-140)
Total: 234.5
Phoenix Suns Betting Breakdown
Phoenix arrives with swagger, momentum and a little Cup-cash motivation after one of the wildest finishes of the tournament so far. Down eight in the final minute against Minnesota, the Suns decided chaos was the new offense, forcing turnover after turnover until Collin Gillespie sealed the comeback with a smooth 10 footer.
Gillespie’s emergence as the steady hand of Jordan Ott’s high-movement system has been critical. The Suns do not hold the ball, they do not slow down and they certainly do not apologize for how many passing lanes they blow up. Phoenix forces nearly 11 steals per game, trailing only Oklahoma City, and the collective defensive pressure has turned into nine wins over their past eleven games.
The Suns won the first meeting with San Antonio comfortably, and now they get them at home again with Cup energy still buzzing and a chance to lock themselves further into the mix as one of the West Group A’s top teams.
San Antonio Spurs Betting Breakdown
San Antonio skipped Cup Friday but enters this matchup hot, winners of three straight and six of eight. They have been grinding through injuries, rolling without Victor Wembanyama and Stephon Castle, and still finding ways to win with effort and creativity.
Rookie David Jones Garcia delivered his best NBA performance in the win over Atlanta, dropping an efficient all-around effort in limited minutes. With Wembanyama out, San Antonio has leaned on flexible lineups featuring Luke Kornet inside and quick perimeter play from Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell and De’Aaron Fox.
This is a team that forces turnovers, runs the floor and sometimes looks like it wrote its game plan on a napkin five minutes before tipoff. But when it works, it works beautifully.
The Spurs did fall 130 to 118 in the first Phoenix matchup, but Fox did not play in that one. That alone changes the math.
NBA Prediction & Betting Angle
Phoenix has the momentum, the healthier roster and a style that punishes teams missing size and rim protection. San Antonio’s small ball can create bursts of offense, but over four quarters Phoenix has too much firepower and too much pressure defense to fade.
Final Score: Suns 121, Spurs 115
Lean: Phoenix -2.5
Total: Over 234.5
- NBA Basketball Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
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