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Georgia (11-1) at Alabama (10-2)
- When: Dec 6 2025, 4:00 PM
- Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
- Where to watch: ABC
- Last Meeting: Alabama 24-21, September 27th, 2025
(3) Georgia vs (9) Alabama Preview & Prediction
Spread: Georgia -2.5
Moneyline: Georgia (-135)
Total: 48.5
Georgia Bulldogs Betting Breakdown
Georgia gets the rare chance at payback after falling to Alabama back in late September, and the Bulldogs have looked nothing like that early version of themselves. Since that 24 to 21 setback, Georgia has ripped off eight straight wins and elevated its playoff position, sitting firmly in the CFP mix and hunting the bye offered to the SEC champion.
The biggest growth has come under quarterback Gunner Stockton. He was quiet in the first meeting, but months later he is a far more seasoned and confident leader. He has pushed the Georgia offense to 11 wins with over 2,500 passing yards, 20 touchdowns through the air, and productive rushing ability sprinkled in.
Kirby Smart has repeatedly stressed how much this SEC championship means. Even in a world with a twelve team playoff, the SEC trophy still carries weight and experience. Georgia has been through a physical conference grind and enters Atlanta looking as complete as they have all season.
Georgia’s historical struggles against Alabama remain the giant shadow in the room. The Bulldogs have lost 10 of 11 head to head, including all four at Mercedes Benz Stadium. Still, the matchup enters with Georgia in better form than their September version and with real momentum behind their championship push.
Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Breakdown
Alabama also secured the finale they wanted. A combination of results on the last day of the regular season helped the Crimson Tide clinch their spot in Atlanta, and now they have a shot at sweeping Georgia and potentially sneaking into the playoff picture.
Quarterback Ty Simpson has been the steady engine behind the Alabama offense, topping 3,000 passing yards with 25 touchdowns while elevating the Crimson Tide down the stretch. He watched the team’s previous SEC title game run from the sideline, making this his first shot at leading Alabama on this stage.
Head coach Kalen DeBoer is already campaigning for playoff respect regardless of Saturday’s outcome, insisting Alabama is one of the nation’s best teams based on metrics and strength of schedule. Whether the committee agrees is another story, but Alabama enters believing it belongs in the postseason no matter what.
This matchup is far from the same early season battle. Both teams have evolved, and Alabama knows exactly what it signed up for: another heavyweight fight with the Bulldogs on neutral turf.
Final Betting Prediction
Georgia enters this rematch looking far more polished than it did in September, and the Bulldogs’ late season momentum should carry weight in a tight championship setting. Their offensive balance behind Gunner Stockton gives them a slight edge against an Alabama team that has improved but still shows defensive lapses against versatile attacks.
Expect a competitive fight with both offenses doing enough to push the total toward the higher side of the number.
Final Score: Georgia 27, Alabama 23
Lean: Georgia -2.5
Total: Ove 48.5
- NCAA Football Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
