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New York (16-7) at Toronto (15-10)
- When: Dec 9 2025, 8:30 PM
- Where: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON, CAN
- TV: Prime Video
New York vs Toronto Preview & Prediction
Spread: New York -5.0
Moneyline: New York (-185)
Total: 226.5
New York Knicks Breakdown
New York enters this NBA Cup quarterfinal like a team that has Toronto’s scouting report tattooed on its soul. The Knicks have beaten the Raptors nine straight times, including a dominating one hundred sixteen to ninety four victory earlier this season. If this were a video game, Toronto might be considering using cheat codes.
The Knicks are rolling, winners of seven of their last eight, and the roster is finally beginning to stabilize despite lingering injuries. Karl Anthony Towns remains day to day with a calf issue, and Miles McBride may miss time after leaving the Orlando game in a walking boot. But New York still has plenty of firepower.
OG Anunoby has returned and already reminded everyone why the Knicks wanted him so badly. In only his second game back, he delivered twenty one points, seven boards and three steals while guarding everything from point guards to centers. His defensive versatility is one of New York’s biggest advantages in this matchup.
Meanwhile, New York’s supporting cast continues to show growth. Ariel Hukporti came off the bench and played his best game of the season, contributing elite defensive minutes and giving the Knicks real size and energy inside.
With momentum, defensive depth and confidence in this matchup, New York enters as a comfortable favorite. From a gambling angle, their ability to control pace and force Toronto into long scoring droughts is a serious edge.
Knicks Player Prop Pick: OG Anunoby over 15.5 points – His offense ramps up quickly after injury absences, and Toronto’s wing defense struggles without Barrett.
Toronto Raptors Breakdown
Toronto’s NBA Cup success earned them home court for this quarterfinal, but the recent skid has sucked a lot of optimism out of the building. The Raptors have lost three straight and five of their last six, and even their best effort last game was not enough to stop Boston from firing twenty made threes.
The Raptors did claw back from a twenty three point deficit and briefly held a fourth quarter lead, showing they can still raise their level when needed. Darko Rajakovic openly demanded more urgency and scrappiness, and the second half against Boston finally matched those standards.
Brandon Ingram bounced back with thirty points, Scottie Barnes continued to produce with an eighteen and eleven double double, and Immanuel Quickley added scoring despite inconsistent shooting. Missing RJ Barrett remains a problem, as the offense becomes far more predictable, and Toronto loses a high usage downhill threat.
Toronto has not beaten New York since January twenty twenty three, and unless their perimeter defense wakes up quickly, this streak might continue. The Raptors must start faster, rotate harder on shooters and avoid digging massive early holes.
Raptors Player Prop Pick: Scottie Barnes over 19.5 points – With Barrett out, Barnes shoulders more creation and New York’s interior scheme gives him room to attack.
Prediction and Betting Outlook
New York has matchup advantages across the board, more continuity and a stronger defensive profile. Toronto showed fight against Boston, but they remain inconsistent and vulnerable to hot shooting teams.
With the spread at 5.5, New York’s superior execution and late game composure give them an edge. The total of 226.5 suggests a lively pace, but New York’s defense could pull scores down late.
Final Score: Knicks 116 Raptors 108
Lean: New York -5.5
Total: Under 226.5
- NBA Basketball Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
