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Troy (8-5) at Jacksonville State (8-5)
- When: Dec 16 2025, 9:00 PM
- Where: Cramton Bowl, Montgomery, AL
- Where to watch: ESPN
Troy vs Jacksonville State Preview & Prediction
Spread: Troy -1.0
Moneyline: Troy (-120)
Total: 49.5
Troy Trojans Betting Outlook
Troy enters this bowl matchup looking to put a stamp on a strong season and reclaim some in state bragging rights. This rivalry has been dormant for more than two decades, but the familiarity is still there, and Troy treats this like more than just another postseason appearance. At eight and five, the Trojans are chasing their seventh bowl victory and a chance to end the year on a high note.
The offense took a noticeable step forward once quarterback Goose Crowder returned from injury. He brought stability, toughness, and leadership, and the results followed quickly. Troy surged late in the season, riding a five game winning streak into the Sun Belt title game before running into a tough James Madison squad. Even with that setback, the Trojans proved they belong in big moments.
The biggest concern for Troy is the absence of its top rusher, which puts more pressure on Crowder and a reworked ground attack. Still, Troy has shown it can adapt and play efficient football when needed. As a one point favorite, Troy’s experience against FBS competition and recent bowl success give them a slight edge in what should be a tight contest.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks Betting Outlook
Jacksonville State arrives with plenty of confidence after another impressive transition season at the FBS level. This program has not looked out of place since moving up, reaching its third straight bowl game and competing for a Conference USA title. While the championship loss stung, the Gamecocks now have a chance to close the season with a statement win.
The identity of this team is crystal clear. Jacksonville State runs the football relentlessly and successfully. Their ground game ranks among the best in the country, and they are comfortable shortening games, controlling tempo, and wearing down opponents. That style travels well in bowl games, especially against teams missing key contributors.
Quarterback play adds another wrinkle, as Jacksonville State can generate offense without needing high volume passing. That makes them dangerous as an underdog in a near pick em matchup.
Prediction and Betting Outlook
With Troy favored by one and the total set at 49.5, this profiles as a physical, run heavy battle. Expect long drives, limited possessions, and a close score deep into the fourth quarter. Troy’s balance and experience give them a slight edge late, but Jacksonville State will not go quietly.
Final Score: Troy 24, Jacksonville State 20
Lean: Troy -1.0
Total: Under 49.5
- NCAA Football Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
