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San Antonio (22-7) at Oklahoma City (26-4)
- When: Dec 25 2025, 2:30 PM
- Where: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK, USA
- TV: ABC
San Antonio vs Oklahoma City Preview & Prediction
Spread: Oklahoma City -9.0
Moneyline: Oklahoma City (-370)
Total: 233.5
San Antonio Spurs Betting Breakdown
San Antonio rolls into Christmas Day feeling like the Grinch after stealing Oklahoma City’s lunch money twice in under two weeks. The Spurs are riding a seven game heater and look nothing like a young team afraid of the moment. Victor Wembanyama continues to grow into the spotlight, and even while easing back from injury, his presence has flipped matchups on both ends.
San Antonio dominated the paint and punished turnovers in the most recent meeting, shooting at an elite clip that no opponent had managed against the Thunder all season. The confidence is real, but history says repeating this trick again in Oklahoma City will be much tougher.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Breakdown
Oklahoma City still owns one of the best resumes in the NBA and enters Christmas as a solid nine point favorite for a reason. Shai Gilgeous Alexander gets his first taste of a Christmas Day stage and motivation will not be lacking after being handled twice by the same opponent.
The Thunder thrive on forcing mistakes and turning chaos into points, yet that edge disappeared in the last matchup. Defensive pride and urgency should be sky high at home, especially with the league watching. Expect a sharper response, tighter rotations, and a much stronger defensive effort.
Matchup and Betting Outlook
San Antonio has proven it can bother Oklahoma City, but asking a young roster to sweep a holiday home and home against a title contender is a tall order. The Thunder have dropped a few games recently, yet those losses may be exactly what sharpens their focus. With the total sitting at 233.5, this game profiles as another fast paced showdown, though Oklahoma City’s defensive adjustments should slow the Spurs just enough.
Prediction and Betting Outlook
Look for Oklahoma City to control the tempo early, protect the paint better, and remind everyone why they sit near the top of the West. San Antonio competes but the Thunder finally flip the script at home.
Final Score: Thunder 121, Spurs 110
Lean: Oklahoma City -9.0
Total: Under 233.5
- NBA Basketball Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
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