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Thunder vs 76ers Betting Preview and Expert Prediction

Expert betting preview for Thunder vs 76ers with spread analysis and final score prediction.

(Photo by Getty Images) Shai Gilgeous Alexander
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Philadelphia (16-13) at Oklahoma City (26-5)

  • When: Dec 28 2025, 3:30 PM
  • Where: Paycom Center, Paycom Center
  • TV: FDSOK

Philadelphia vs Oklahoma City Preview & Prediction

Spread: Oklahoma City -15.5
Moneyline: Oklahoma City (-1200)
Total: 227.5

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Breakdown

Oklahoma City finally hit a speed bump, and honestly, it was probably overdue. After opening the season like a video game on rookie mode, the Thunder have dropped four of their last six games, including their first back to back losses of the year. Still, panic is nowhere near the word inside this locker room.

The Thunder mindset has not changed. Shai Gilgeous Alexander continues to set the tone, emphasizing growth over results. Even during the hot start, this group talked about sharpening details. Now that the losses have arrived, that same accountability carries even more weight.

At home, Oklahoma City remains a different animal. They force turnovers at an elite rate and turn those mistakes into fast break points better than anyone in the league. That pressure becomes magnified against teams traveling through tough road stretches, especially those still trying to find lineup rhythm.

Facing a Philadelphia team working through chemistry issues, the Thunder should dictate tempo early. Expect aggressive perimeter defense, quick decisions offensively, and a renewed emphasis on execution after the recent slip.

Thunder Player Prop Pick: Shai Gilgeous Alexander over 31.5 points line – When Oklahoma City looks to reassert control, the ball lives in Shai’s hands from start to finish.

Philadelphia 76ers Betting Breakdown

Philadelphia arrives in Oklahoma City searching for cohesion more than confidence. The return of Joel Embiid alongside Paul George and Tyrese Maxey has not produced immediate results, largely because consistency has been impossible. The trio simply has not logged enough games together to develop rhythm.

Embiid has looked strong since returning, showing his usual scoring dominance, but conditioning and timing remain works in progress. The 76ers offense often flashes potential before stalling, especially late in games when spacing and decision making break down.

Defensively, Philadelphia does some things well. They limit damage off turnovers and can slow the pace when locked in. However, facing a Thunder team that thrives on chaos puts that discipline under stress. Long rebounds and live ball turnovers could quickly swing momentum against them.

This is also just the second stop on a long road trip, and Philadelphia has not yet found its footing away from home.

76ers Player Prop Pick: Tyrese Maxey over 26.5 points line – With Embiid sidelined again, Maxey becomes the clear offensive engine, seeing a spike in usage, shot attempts, and on ball responsibility.

NBA Final Score & Expert Prediction

The Thunder should bounce back with a strong performance, but this number feels inflated. Philadelphia has enough firepower to stay competitive, especially if Embiid controls stretches of the game. Oklahoma City likely wins comfortably without fully separating.

Oklahoma City wins the game but falls short of covering the large spread, while the total lands just under as Philadelphia slows pace when possible.

Final Score: Thunder 118, 76ers 108
Lean: Philadelphia +15.5
Total: 
Under 227.5 

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