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Cleveland (17-16) at San Antonio (23-8)
- When: Dec 29 2025, 8:00 PM
- Where: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX, USA
- TV: NBC/Peacock
Cleveland vs San Antonio Preview & Prediction
Spread: San Antonio -4.0
Moneyline: San Antonio (-160)
Total: 242.0
San Antonio Spurs Betting Breakdown
San Antonio comes into this matchup looking to reset after a classic letdown spot. Fresh off two statement wins over Oklahoma City, the Spurs slipped up at home against Utah, a loss that felt more about focus than talent. That stumble snapped an impressive regular season winning streak and exposed some late game execution issues.
Victor Wembanyama was dominant offensively in that loss, showing why San Antonio can still control games when fully engaged. The problem was connectivity. Defensive rotations were slow, spacing broke down, and the Spurs struggled to finish after mounting a strong comeback. That type of lapse is correctable, and teams often respond well in the next outing.
A major storyline is the status of De’Aaron Fox. When available, he has been San Antonio’s late game stabilizer. Even if limited, his presence changes how defenses are forced to react. At home, with a chance to split the season series, expect a sharper effort and more attention to detail.
San Antonio has been strong offensively during this recent run, pushing pace and generating high quality looks early in the shot clock. That style fits well with a projected high total.
Spurs Player Prop Pick: Victor Wembanyama over 22.5 points – When San Antonio wants to reassert control, the offense consistently flows through Wembanyama’s scoring versatility.
Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Breakdown
Cleveland arrives searching for answers. The Cavaliers are nearing the end of a road trip and have dropped several games recently due to effort and execution issues. The loss in Houston raised alarms, as Cleveland was outworked physically from the opening minutes.
Turnovers and rebounding have been major concerns. Giving opponents extra possessions has erased any margin for error, especially against teams that thrive in transition. Cleveland’s offense has been uneven, with stretches of strong ball movement followed by long droughts.
Donovan Mitchell remains the engine, but the supporting cast has struggled to maintain consistency. Cleveland can score in bunches, yet defensive breakdowns have made it difficult to sustain momentum. That volatility makes road games particularly dangerous.
Despite the recent skid, Cleveland already beat San Antonio once this season. That familiarity could help early, but effort levels must rise significantly to keep pace in a fast environment.
Cavaliers Player Prop Pick: Donovan Mitchell over 27.5 points – When Cleveland faces adversity, Mitchell’s usage spikes as he attempts to keep the offense afloat.
Betting Outlook and Final Prediction
San Antonio is favored by 4.0, with the total set at 242.0. This number points to a fast, offense driven game. San Antonio should respond with urgency after the Utah loss, while Cleveland’s defensive issues could allow the Spurs to dictate tempo. Expect runs on both sides, but better execution late from the home team.
San Antonio covers the spread in a high scoring game that leans toward the over as both teams push pace and prioritize offense.
Final Score: Spurs 126, Cavaliers 119
Lean: San Antonio -4.0
Total: Over 242.0
- NBA Basketball Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
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