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New York (23-9) at San Antonio (23-9)
- When: Dec 31 2025, 7:00 PM
- Where: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX, USA
- TV: MSG
New York vs San Antonio Preview & Prediction
Spread: San Antonio -2.0
Moneyline: San Antonio (-130)
Total: 236.0
New York Knicks Betting Breakdown
New York rolls into San Antonio playing its best basketball of the season and carrying a three game winning streak that feels a lot longer. This is the same Knicks team that already handled the Spurs in the NBA Cup final, and the confidence from that night still shows up every time things get uncomfortable.
Their latest win in New Orleans summed up this group perfectly. Slow start, rough third quarter, zero panic. Jalen Brunson took control late, OG Anunoby delivered one of those momentum swinging plays that crushes opponents emotionally, and Karl Anthony Towns quietly cleaned the glass like it was his side hustle. This team does not need to dominate early. They just need to be close when it matters.
New York has now won 15 of its last 18 games if you count the Cup final, and the offense has become incredibly balanced. They can win through Brunson isolation, Towns inside, or transition buckets when the defense collapses. Against a Spurs team struggling late, that balance is dangerous.
Knicks Player Prop Pick: Jalen Brunson over 27.5 points – He controls tempo late and thrives in competitive road games.
San Antonio Spurs Betting Breakdown
San Antonio still owns one of the best records in the league, but the timing could not be worse. Two straight losses have come with fourth quarter meltdowns that look more mental than physical. The Spurs had Cleveland right where they wanted them and then completely lost structure when pressure arrived.
Victor Wembanyama continues to be spectacular. His stat lines remain video game worthy and his impact is undeniable. The issue has been execution around him. Late possessions have turned into rushed shots, forced passes, and defensive lapses that swing games fast.
Coach Mitch Johnson called out the unnecessary desperation and that is the right word. The Spurs are trying to do too much instead of trusting their system. That is often the case after a demanding stretch of elite opponents. The bounce back spot is real here, especially at home, but the margin for error is thin against a composed Knicks team.
Spurs Player Prop Pick: Victor Wembanyama over 10.5 rebounds – New York attacks the paint aggressively, creating extra board chances.
NBA Final Score & Expert Prediction
San Antonio is favored by 2.0 with a total sitting at 236.0. The line suggests the market still trusts the Spurs at home despite recent struggles. This feels like a classic spot where urgency finally shows up. Expect a fast pace, heavy usage from both stars, and a close finish.
New York keeps it competitive, but San Antonio’s need to correct mistakes and protect home court gives them the edge late.
Final Score: Spurs 121, Knicks 118
Lean: San Antonio -2.0
Total: Over 236.0
- NBA Basketball Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
