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Spurs vs Celtics Betting Preview Spread and Expert Prediction

San Antonio visits Boston in a high pace matchup. Expert betting analysis, odds, and final score prediction.

(Photo by Getty Images) Victor Wembanyama
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San Antonio (26-11) at Boston (24-13)

  • When: Jan 10 2026, 8:00 PM
  • Where: TD Garden, Boston, MA, USA
  • TV: NBCS-BOS

San Antonio vs Boston Preview & Prediction

Spread: San Antonio -1.0
Moneyline: San Antonio (-110)
Total: 231.0

San Antonio Spurs

San Antonio heads into Boston trying to shake off a prolonged cold spell from long range. The Spurs have not forgotten how to shoot, but the ball simply has not cooperated lately. Over the past several games, open looks have turned into empty possessions, yet the Spurs have stayed competitive by leaning into pace, ball movement, and paint pressure.

That approach paid off in their most recent win, where San Antonio handled Los Angeles despite another rough night from deep. The key has been refusing to let missed shots kill energy. When the Spurs push tempo and attack downhill, they force defenses to collapse, creating cleaner looks and easier scoring chances elsewhere.

Victor Wembanyama remains the centerpiece, even with minutes being carefully managed. His presence alone warps defensive schemes and opens opportunities for others. San Antonio knows it does not need perfect shooting to win if it controls effort and transition play.

From a betting perspective, San Antonio favored by 1.0 suggests trust in their ability to dictate tempo. If the Spurs continue to run, defend, and stay aggressive, positive shooting regression could arrive at the right time.

San Antonio Player Prop Pick: Victor Wembanyama over 19.5 points – Even in limited minutes, Wembanyama’s usage remains elite and his scoring comes efficiently.

Boston Celtics

Boston wraps up a long homestand on the second night of a back to back, which always adds an extra variable. The Celtics responded well in their last outing, shooting confidently from outside and closing strong after a disappointing loss earlier in the week.

Boston’s bench has been a major strength, providing consistent scoring when starters rest. Anfernee Simons has embraced that role, giving the Celtics instant offense and spacing. When Boston is making shots, their offense flows effortlessly and forces opponents to match pace.

The challenge comes with fatigue. Playing on consecutive nights can impact defensive sharpness and rebounding, especially against a young, fast team like San Antonio. Boston will want to slow the game down, limit turnovers, and turn this into a half court battle.

As a slight underdog at home, Boston still carries value if it controls tempo and hits perimeter shots early.

Boston Player Prop Pick: Anfernee Simons over 13.5 points – Simons’ role off the bench has been steady, and his scoring opportunities remain consistent regardless of game script.

Betting Outlook and Prediction

San Antonio is favored by 1.0 with the total set at 231.0, pointing toward a fast paced, offense friendly game. Boston’s shooting keeps them competitive, but San Antonio’s pace and athleticism create matchup issues, especially late.

Expect stretches of scoring runs from both sides before San Antonio’s energy and transition play make the difference.

Final Score: San Antonio 118, Boston 114
Lean: San Antonio -1.0
Total: 
Over 231.0 

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