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San Antonio (27-11) at Minnesota (25-14)
- When: Jan 11 2026, 7:00 PM
- Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN, USA
- TV: FDSN
San Antonio vs Minnesota Preview & Prediction
Spread: Minnesota -2.5
Moneyline: Minnesota (-135)
Total: 234.0
San Antonio Spurs Betting Breakdown
San Antonio walks into Minneapolis on tired legs but riding confidence. The Spurs pulled off an impressive road win in Boston on Saturday, grinding out a 100 to 95 victory that showed maturity beyond their record. Victor Wembanyama and De’Aaron Fox carried the scoring load, then immediately boarded a late night flight north. That travel spot matters, especially against a Minnesota team that thrives on pace and pressure at home.
The Spurs have already seen the Timberwolves once this season and struggled to contain Minnesota’s offensive balance. Fox was aggressive in that first meeting and continues to be San Antonio’s most reliable scorer in back to back situations. The challenge Sunday is whether the Spurs can maintain defensive intensity after logging heavy minutes less than 24 hours earlier.
San Antonio’s path to covering relies on efficient offense and keeping Minnesota out of transition. If Wembanyama controls tempo instead of chasing highlight plays, the Spurs can stay competitive deep into the fourth quarter.
Spurs Player Prop Pick: Victor Wembanyama over points and blocks. His usage spikes in competitive games and Minnesota has limited rim protection behind Rudy Gobert.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Breakdown
Minnesota returns home after a frustrating loss in Cleveland where the defense collapsed after halftime. Giving up 83 second half points is not how this team wants to be defined, and that response angle matters here. Anthony Edwards continues to look comfortable as the clear alpha, and his willingness to play off the ball has unlocked more space for Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels.
The Timberwolves already beat San Antonio at home earlier this season by controlling the pace and spacing the floor. Edwards torched the Spurs in that matchup and remains the focal point offensively. Minnesota is favored by 2.5 for a reason. They are deeper, fresher, and playing in a spot where effort usually spikes after a defensive embarrassment.
Minnesota’s biggest concern is containing Wembanyama without fouling. If they avoid early foul trouble and force San Antonio into half court possessions, the Timberwolves should control the final stretch.
Timberwolves Player Prop Pick: Anthony Edwards over points. He consistently elevates at home and remains aggressive against teams that struggle defending the perimeter.
NBA Final Score & Expert Prediction
The spread is short and the total sits high at 234, which reflects expected pace despite tired legs on both sides. Minnesota has the rest edge, home court, and the bounce back narrative. San Antonio keeps it close early, but depth and energy favor the Timberwolves late.
Final Score: Timberwolves 121, Spurs 116
Lean: Minnesota -2.5
Total: Over 234.0
- NBA Basketball Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
