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Toronto (28-19) at Oklahoma City (37-9)
- When: Jan 25 2026, 7:00 PM
- Where: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK, USA
- TV: FDSOK
Toronto vs Oklahoma City Preview & Prediction
Spread: Oklahoma City -11.0
Moneyline: Oklahoma City (-550)
Total: 225.0
Oklahoma City Thunder Preview
Also Known as The Injury Report Disguised as a Basketball Team
Oklahoma City has spent the last two seasons terrorizing the Eastern Conference like it owes them money. Last year, they barely lost to anyone from the other side of the map. This season, the Thunder are still good, but the aura of invincibility has taken a few dents.
The problem is not effort. It is availability. The Thunder lineup right now looks like a preseason scrimmage mixed with a G League tryout. Key starters are sidelined, important rotation pieces are missing, and the coaching staff is once again playing the fun game of Who Wants Extra Minutes Tonight.
To their credit, Oklahoma City keeps competing. They are deep, well coached, and disciplined. But depth only goes so far when the same guys are asked to do more every night. Fatigue creeps in, execution slips late, and suddenly double digit spreads start feeling very ambitious.
Defensively, the Thunder still do a great job limiting transition chances. They slow the game down, force teams into half court possessions, and usually win the math battle. Offensively though, the missing pieces show up when shots stop falling and there is no bailout scorer to steady the ship.
Winning the game is still very realistic. Blowing someone out with this roster situation is another story.
Toronto Raptors Preview
Also Known as The Team Nobody Wants to Bet Against Quietly
Toronto enters this matchup riding a little momentum and a lot of disrespect. Injuries have followed them for weeks, yet the Raptors keep finding ways to stay competitive. This team runs hard, pushes the pace, and treats fast breaks like a lifestyle choice.
The Raptors are not flashy, but they are annoying in the best possible way. They crash the glass, force turnovers, and turn small mistakes into quick points. Even when shorthanded, they play loose and confident, especially against teams expected to roll over them.
Defensively, Toronto knows exactly who it is. They pressure the ball, swarm lanes, and dare opponents to beat them over forty eight minutes. That approach works well against teams missing multiple creators and rotation scorers.
Most importantly for bettors, Toronto does not quit. Down ten, down twelve, down fourteen, it does not matter. This team keeps running and keeps scoring late, which is exactly how underdogs sneak inside big numbers.
Betting Outlook and Prediction
The Thunder should win, but this spread is asking a lot from a short handed roster. Toronto has enough pace, depth, and stubbornness to hang around all night. Expect Oklahoma City to control most of the game while Toronto quietly chips away, especially in the second half.
The total feels reasonable with both teams capable of scoring, but the smarter angle is grabbing the points.
Toronto covers the spread and frustrates anyone expecting a cruise control win.
Final Score: Thunder 118, Raptors 110
Lean: Toronto +11.0
Total: Over 225.0
- NBA Basketball Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
