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Spurs vs Thunder NBA Betting Preview and Expert Pick

Thunder face Spurs in West battle with odds, expert analysis, and final score prediction.

(Photo by Getty Images) Victor Wembanyama
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Oklahoma City (40-11) at San Antonio (33-16)

  • When: Feb 4 2026, 9:30 PM
  • Where: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX, USA
  • TV: ESPN

Oklahoma City vs San Antonio Preview & Prediction

Spread: Oklahoma City -1.5
Moneyline: Oklahoma City (-120)
Total: 222.0

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

Oklahoma City enters this Western Conference showdown still holding the league’s best record at 40 and 11, but the recent stretch has been more about steadying the ship than pure dominance. A convincing 128 to 92 win over Orlando showed what this roster looks like when the defense locks in and the rotation clicks. The Thunder held the Magic to 14 first quarter points and just 38.2 percent shooting, a reminder that their identity begins with pressure defense and physical tempo.

Balanced production fueled the victory. Isaiah Joe scored 22 points off the bench, while Shai Gilgeous Alexander added 20 points despite resting the entire fourth quarter. The frontcourt delivered as well, with Isaiah Hartenstein posting his first career triple double of 12 points, 10 rebounds, and 10 assists, and Chet Holmgren contributing 16 points and 10 rebounds. Depth scoring from Luguentz Dort with 18 points rounded out a complete team effort.

Even with injuries to Jalen Williams and Alex Caruso, Oklahoma City continues to win through defense, ball movement, and versatility.

Player Prop Pick: Shai Gilgeous Alexander over 30.5 points
SGA remains attractive in a tight matchup where star usage typically rises.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview

San Antonio sits firmly near the top of the conference at 33 and 16 and has already proven it can challenge Oklahoma City, winning three of the four meetings this season. The Spurs arrive with momentum after a 112 to 103 victory over Orlando, powered by elite two way play from their franchise centerpiece.

Victor Wembanyama delivered 25 points, eight rebounds, five blocks, and four steals, showcasing the rare defensive and offensive impact that makes him one of the league’s most disruptive forces. Support scoring came from Devin Vassell with 16 points, Dylan Harper adding 15 off the bench, and Keldon Johnson plus De Aaron Fox each scoring 14, with Fox also handing out 10 assists to control tempo late.

San Antonio’s pattern of alternating wins and losses reflects a talented but still maturing contender. Health questions around Stephon Castle add another layer of uncertainty heading into a matchup that usually turns physical and close.

Player Prop Pick: Victor Wembanyama over 10.5 rebounds
Wemby stands out given his rim presence and heavy interior role.

Betting Preview

San Antonio’s success in the season series suggests another competitive battle, but Oklahoma City’s defense, depth, and home level execution give it the slight edge.

Final Score: Thunder 119, Spurs 115
Lean: Oklahoma City -1.5
Total: 
Over 222.0 

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