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Houston Rockets vs OKC Thunder Best Bet

Thunder vs Rockets odds, spread, total and expert prediction for Saturday showdown.

(Photo by Getty Images) Shai Gilgeous Alexander
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Houston (31-19) at Oklahoma City (40-12)

  • When: Feb 7 2026, 3:30 PM
  • Where: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK, USA
  • TV: ABC

Houston vs Oklahoma City Preview & Prediction

Spread: Oklahoma City -2.5
Moneyline: Oklahoma City (-145)
Total: 214.0

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

Houston heads to Oklahoma City trying to shake off a rough stretch after dropping two straight at home. That skid came on the heels of a strong run where the Rockets won five of six, so the talent is clearly there. The concern for bettors is intensity. In recent losses, Houston has looked a step slow defensively and late to loose balls, which is not a formula that works on the road.

Alperen Sengun opened the season by torching this Thunder defense for 39 points in a 125 to 124 double overtime thriller. However, his recent efficiency dip is something to monitor. If Sengun regains his early season rhythm and Kevin Durant provides steady scoring, Houston can absolutely stay within striking distance. The issue is consistency on both ends of the floor.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

Oklahoma City enters as a 2.5 point favorite with the total set at 214.0. The Thunder have battled through significant injuries, yet they continue to compete at a high level. Even in a recent loss in San Antonio, they fought with a short rotation and kept things respectable.

Depth has become a storyline. Jaylin Williams stepped up with a 24 point effort in extended minutes, and the team continues to find production from unexpected spots. The big question is availability. With Shai Gilgeous Alexander and Jalen Williams sidelined, scoring can come in waves rather than steadily.

NBA Prediction and Betting Outlook

This number reflects Oklahoma City’s home court edge more than star power. Houston has not shown enough fight in recent games to trust them outright on the road. The Thunder’s resilience at home gives them the slight nod.

Prediction: Thunder win and cover the 2.5. Lean to the Under 214.0 in a competitive but defense driven battle.

Final Score: Oklahoma City 108, Houston 102
Lean: Oklahoma City -2.5
Total: 
Under 214.0 

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