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Purdue (19-4) vs Nebraska (21-2)
- When: Feb 10 2026, 7:00 PM
- Where: Pinnacle Bank Arena, Lincoln, NE, USA
- Where to watch: Fox Sports 1
(13) Purdue vs (7) Nebraska Preview & Prediction
Spread: Nebraska -2.0
Moneyline: Nebraska (-130)
Total: 148.5
Nebraska Cornhuskers
Nebraska comes in ranked seventh, favored by 2 points, and carrying a total of 148.5 that screams half court chess match. The Cornhuskers started 20-0 like a team that forgot losing was an option, then dropped two straight just to remind everyone they are human. They bounced back with a 12 point win at Rutgers, which probably felt like therapy with a scoreboard.
This team absolutely loves the three point line. Nearly 51 percent of their shots come from deep. That is not a preference, that is a lifestyle. Pryce Sandfort leads the Big Ten with 80 made threes and is averaging 17.1 points per game. When he gets hot, Lincoln turns into a long range fireworks show.
The inside punch matters too. Rienk Mast, finally healthy, dropped 26 points at Rutgers after looking limited in previous games. When Mast has the ball moving through him, the offense flows smoother than a postgame press conference.
If Nebraska knocks down even an average number of threes, the 2 point spread feels short at home.
Purdue Boilermakers
Purdue rolls into Lincoln ranked 13th and winners of two straight after a mini slump. They barely escaped Oregon thanks to Fletcher Loyer’s late three, and Loyer has hit 10 of his last 14 from distance. The problem is consistency. Purdue is 4 and 4 when it makes fewer than eight triples. Translation: when the shots are not falling, life gets complicated.
Braden Smith runs the show. He averages 15.2 points and 8.7 assists, and his career assist total is flirting with history. However, the 14 turnovers against Oregon were a red flag. Purdue’s coach has made it clear that when turnovers creep into the mid teens, they are beating themselves.
The Boilermakers can win anywhere, but they have not won in Lincoln since December 2022. That trend is not ideal when the opponent is ranked and riding revenge energy.
Betting Outlook and Prediction
Expect a tight, physical battle with both teams trading threes and arguing over every whistle. Nebraska’s perimeter volume and home crowd energy give them the slight edge in a game that could swing on one late possession.
Final Score: Nebraska 75, Purdue 71
Lean: Nebraska -2.0
Total: Under 148.5
- NCAAB Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
