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Milwaukee (22-30) at Oklahoma City (42-13)
- When: Feb 12 2026, 7:30 PM
- Where: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK, USA
- TV: FDSOK
Milwaukee vs Oklahoma City Preview & Prediction
Spread: Oklahoma City -13.0
Moneyline: Oklahoma City (-675)
Total: 214.5
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
Milwaukee heads into Oklahoma City short-handed but not short on confidence. Giannis Antetokounmpo remains sidelined with a calf strain, marking his ninth straight missed game. Normally that would spell disaster, but the Bucks have quietly steadied themselves, winning four of their last five.
Their most recent outing was a solid 116-108 win over Orlando, showing they can generate offense even without their franchise anchor. Cam Thomas has given them a scoring jolt off the bench, and Ousmane Dieng is starting to look comfortable in his new uniform after the trade shuffle. The ball is moving, role players are stepping up, and the urgency is obvious with the All Star break looming.
Still, the challenge Thursday is significant. Milwaukee struggles defensively against teams that space the floor and push tempo. Without Giannis controlling the paint and cleaning the glass, they can be vulnerable in transition and on second chances. That is a dangerous weakness against a Thunder team that thrives on pace and ball movement.
As double digit underdogs, the Bucks will need a hot shooting night to hang around. If they fall into scoring droughts, this could snowball quickly.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
Oklahoma City is also without its superstar, as Shai Gilgeous Alexander remains out with an abdominal strain. The Thunder initially stumbled after his injury, but they have found their footing with back to back wins, including a dominant 136-109 road victory over Phoenix.
What stands out is how well they are adapting. Jared McCain has fit seamlessly into the rotation, and the Thunder continue to play with structure and discipline. Even with injuries piling up, this is one of the deepest and most organized teams in the league.
Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren are dealing with recent knocks, so monitoring availability matters. Even so, Oklahoma City’s system travels well and their defensive intensity at home has been elite. They already handled Milwaukee comfortably earlier this season, winning by 20 points.
With the Thunder laying 13 points and the total sitting at 214.5, the market expects a controlled home performance. Given Milwaukee’s defensive concerns and Oklahoma City’s ability to generate efficient looks, the favorite has the edge.
NBA Prediction and Betting Outlook
Oklahoma City controls tempo early, limits Milwaukee’s transition chances, and pulls away in the second half.
Final Score: Thunder 118, Bucks 101
Lean: Oklahoma City -13.0
Total: Over 214.5
- NBA Basketball Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
