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Oregon State (13-13) vs San Francisco (14-12)
- When: Feb 12 2026, 9:00 PM
- Where: War Memorial at the Sobrato Center, San Francisco, CA, USA
- Where to watch: ESPN2
Oregon State vs San Francisco Preview & Prediction
Spread: San Francisco -8.5
Moneyline: San Francisco (-435)
Total: 140.5
San Francisco returns home looking to shake off an ugly offensive showing, while Oregon State tries to steady the ship after running into a buzzsaw. With the Dons laying 8.5 and the total set at 140.5, this shapes up as a tempo and efficiency battle.
Oregon State Beavers: Perimeter Dependent and Streaky
Oregon State is coming off a tough loss in which the defense simply could not hold up. They allowed their opponent to shoot over 57 percent from the floor, and that is rarely going to end well. The Beavers did knock down 10 of 18 from three, showing they can heat up from deep, but the rebounding gap and defensive lapses were too much to overcome.
On the season, Oregon State averages just over 70 points per game while shooting 42 percent from the field. They are solid at the free throw line and respectable from long range, hitting nearly 35 percent from beyond the arc. The problem has been consistency and interior defense. They give up 74.4 points per game and allow opponents to shoot 43.8 percent overall.
The Beavers are not explosive, but they are capable of hanging around if the three ball is falling and turnovers stay in check. Against a team laying more than a touchdown, that matters.
San Francisco Dons: Bounce Back Spot at Home
San Francisco struggled mightily in its last outing, shooting just 28 percent from the field in a 25 point loss. When the Dons go cold, it can get ugly fast. They rely on balanced scoring and solid ball movement, averaging 14.1 assists per game, but they are not built to win rock fights if shots are not falling.
For the season, the Dons average 74.8 points and shoot 43.5 percent from the field. Defensively, they are much more reliable, allowing 71.8 points per contest and holding opponents to 33.2 percent from three. That perimeter defense will be key against an Oregon State team that leans heavily on outside shooting.
At home, San Francisco should dictate tempo and lean on its depth and rebounding edge. Still, they have not consistently blown teams out, and their recent offensive struggles raise questions about laying 8.5 points.
Betting Outlook
San Francisco is the better overall team and should respond after a poor performance. However, Oregon State has enough perimeter shooting to keep this game within reach.
The total of 141 suggests a moderate paced contest. With both teams hovering in the low 70s in scoring average and neither known for elite efficiency, this feels like a game that lands near that number.
San Francisco likely controls the second half, but Oregon State does enough to avoid a double digit defeat.
Final Score: San Francisco 74, Oregon State 69
Lean: Oregon State +8.5
Total: Over 141.5
- NCAAB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
