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Kansas (19-5) vs Iowa State (21-3)
- When: Feb 14 2026, 1:00 PM
- Where: James H. Hilton Coliseum, Ames, IA, USA
- Where to watch: ABC
(9) Kansas vs (5) Iowa State Preview & Prediction
Spread: Iowa State -7.0
Moneyline: Iowa State (-290)
Total: 146.5
Kansas Jayhawks Betting Breakdown
Kansas rolls into Ames playing its best basketball of the season. Eight straight wins, including a statement takedown of a previously unbeaten powerhouse, tells you this group is peaking at the right time. And they did it short handed.
Without their star freshman scorer, the Jayhawks leaned on toughness and execution. Flory Bidunga dominated inside, finishing efficiently and controlling the glass. Kansas also lived at the foul line and cashed in, turning free throws into the difference in a tight game. That is a veteran move in a high pressure spot.
If their leading scorer returns as expected, Kansas becomes even more dangerous offensively. They already score efficiently in the paint and defend with physicality. Add perimeter shooting back into the mix and this offense has multiple ways to attack.
From a betting standpoint, catching seven points with a team riding momentum is attractive. Kansas has shown it can close games, handle pressure, and adjust mid game. If they control tempo and limit turnovers, they have the profile of a live underdog.
Iowa State Cyclones Betting Breakdown
Iowa State remains elite at home, unbeaten in its own building and backed by one of the toughest environments in the conference. That matters, especially after a frustrating road loss where things unraveled late.
The Cyclones had control before going ice cold down the stretch. Shooting from deep was shaky and ball security became a problem. Those are red flags when laying points against a disciplined opponent.
Still, Iowa State’s balance stands out. Milan Momcilovic and Joshua Jefferson form a potent scoring duo, and Jefferson fills every column on the stat sheet. When the Cyclones protect the ball and defend at a high level, they can suffocate teams and create separation quickly.
Betting Outlook and Prediction
The total at 146.5 suggests a competitive, moderately paced matchup. Kansas has confidence and depth, but Iowa State’s home dominance cannot be ignored.
Expect swings in momentum and a tight second half. Ultimately, the Cyclones’ defense and home edge should carry them through.
Final Score: Iowa State 76, Kansas 71
Lean: Kansas +7.0
Total: Over 146.5
- NCAAB Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
