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Texas Tech (18-6) vs Arizona (23-1)
- When: Feb 14 2026, 6:30 PM
- Where: McKale Center, Tucson, AZ, USA
- Where to watch: ESPN
(16) Texas Tech vs (1) Arizona Preview & Prediction
Spread: Arizona -9.5
Moneyline: Arizona (-526)
Total: 156.5
Arizona Wildcats Betting Breakdown
Arizona finally tasted defeat, and now the response spot is sitting right in front of them at home. After ripping off 23 straight wins, the Wildcats fell in a tight road battle and now return to Tucson laying 9.5 against a ranked opponent. That is a statement opportunity.
The Wildcats are still one of the most efficient offenses in the country. They can score inside with size and rim protection, and they have shot makers on the perimeter who can flip momentum in seconds. Motiejus Krivas controls the paint, but the real spark lately has been freshman Brayden Burries. He just dropped 25 in a hostile environment and continues to lead the team in scoring while shooting over 50 percent from the floor.
Defensively, Arizona knows it must tighten up on the glass and stay connected for 40 minutes. At home, that usually translates to faster starts and better defensive rotations.
Player Prop Pick – Brayden Burries Over 16.5 Points – He has cleared 20 in eight games this season and is coming off a high volume outing. In a bounce back spot at home with a 157 total, the usage should be there.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Breakdown
Texas Tech is not walking in quietly. The Red Raiders have rebounded from a brief skid and are playing disciplined basketball. Their identity is physical defense, heavy three point volume, and riding their stars in big moments.
JT Toppin is the engine. He averages a double double and is a force on the glass. Arizona’s size will challenge him, but Toppin has shown he can score through contact and clean up second chance points. Christian Anderson drives the offense, distributing and creating space for shooters. If Tech gets hot from deep, that +9.5 becomes dangerous.
From a betting perspective, Texas Tech’s three point volume is the wild card. They attempt nearly twice as many threes as Arizona. That volatility can either keep them within striking distance or fuel a comeback if they fall behind early.
Player Prop Pick – JT Toppin Over 10.5 Rebounds – Arizona pushes pace and misses will be available. Toppin’s motor and positioning give him strong double digit board upside.
Expert Final Score Prediction
The total at 156.5 suggests a high tempo matchup with plenty of possessions. Arizona’s bounce back motivation and home edge matter, but Texas Tech’s toughness keeps this competitive.
Arizona responds with a focused performance and pulls away late.
Final Score: Arizona 88, Texas Tech 77
Lean: Arizona -9.5
Total: Over 156.5
- NCAAB Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
