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Michigan (25-1) vs Duke (24-2)
- When: Feb 21 2026, 6:30 PM
- Where: Capital One Arena, Washington, DC, USA
- Where to watch: ESPN
(1) Michigan vs (3) Duke Preview & Prediction
Spread: Michigan -2.5
Moneyline: Michigan (-152)
Total: 150.5
Michigan Wolverines Betting Breakdown
The top ranked Wolverines bring a 25-1 record and an 11 game winning streak into this neutral floor showdown. They just handled Purdue 91-80 on the road, proving the No. 1 label is not just hype. Michigan has already stacked wins over multiple Top 10 opponents and continues to show depth that matters in tight spreads.
Elliot Cadeau led the way against Purdue with 17 points, and six Wolverines scored in double figures. That balance is a bettor’s dream when laying a short number. Yaxel Lendeborg has been a tone setter inside, providing toughness, rebounding, and scoring punch. In a projected high total of 150.5, Michigan’s ability to get contributions from multiple options makes them dangerous late.
Player Prop Lean: Yaxel Lendeborg Over 13.5 Points – With Duke’s focus likely on perimeter creators, Lendeborg’s interior scoring and physicality position him for a strong stat line.
Duke Blue Devils Betting Breakdown
Duke checks in at 24-2 with only two one possession losses. The Blue Devils are coming off a 101-64 blowout of Syracuse, and the offense looked sharp. Freshman star Cameron Boozer delivered 22 points and 12 rebounds in that game and now has 14 double doubles this season.
Boozer has consistently produced in marquee spots, giving Duke a reliable inside out weapon. The Blue Devils thrive in uptempo environments, and a neutral site setting often favors elite talent. If this game turns into a track meet, Duke has the shot makers to keep pace.
Player Prop Lean: Cameron Boozer Over 22.5 Points – Boozer’s usage and rebounding presence in big games make him a prime candidate to clear this scoring mark.
Expert Final Score Prediction
Michigan’s depth and recent wins over elite competition give them a slight edge in what should be a back and forth battle. Duke’s talent is undeniable, but the Wolverines’ balance and current form support laying the small number.
Final Score: Michigan 78, Duke 74
Lean: Michigan -2.5
Total: Over 150.5
- NCAAB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
