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Houston (28-5) vs Arizona (31-2)
- When: Mar 14 2026, 6:00 PM
- Where: T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, MO, USA
- Where to watch: ESPN
(5) Houston vs (2) Arizona Preview & Prediction
Spread: Arizona -2.5
Moneyline: Arizona (-140)
Total: 138.0
Arizona Wildcats Betting Breakdown
Arizona enters the Big 12 Tournament championship riding a wave of momentum and looking every bit like a team capable of cutting down the nets in April. The Wildcats improved to 31-2 on the season after a dramatic 82-80 semifinal win against Iowa State, stretching their current winning streak to eight games.
The victory came in thrilling fashion when Big 12 Player of the Year Jaden Bradley knocked down the game winning jumper at the buzzer. Bradley finished the night with another clutch performance, but Arizona also received a huge boost from Anthony Dell’Orso off the bench. Dell’Orso erupted for a season high 26 points while drilling six three pointers on an efficient 10 of 14 shooting performance.
Arizona’s offense has been one of the most balanced in the country, combining perimeter shooting with strong ball movement and disciplined execution. The Wildcats also have confidence heading into this matchup after defeating Houston earlier this season 73-66. Dell’Orso scored 22 points in that contest, proving he can be a difference maker in this matchup.
With depth, scoring versatility and strong late game execution, Arizona has positioned itself as one of the most dangerous teams entering March Madness.
Houston Cougars Betting Breakdown
Houston returns to the conference championship game after delivering one of the most dominant defensive performances of the tournament. The Cougars dismantled Kansas 69-47 in the semifinal, holding the Jayhawks to just 24.6 percent shooting from the field.
Defense continues to be Houston’s identity. The Cougars consistently disrupt opposing offenses with aggressive pressure and strong team communication. That formula was on full display against Kansas, especially in the second half when Houston limited the Jayhawks to just 6 of 31 shooting.
Freshman guard Kingston Flemings led the way offensively with 21 points, while Chris Cenac Jr. contributed a strong inside presence with 17 points and 14 rebounds.
Houston enters the title game with plenty of momentum after rebounding from a three game losing streak in mid February. Since that stretch, the Cougars have responded with five consecutive wins and appear to be peaking at the right time heading toward the NCAA Tournament.
Prediction and Best Bet
Arizona enters the Big 12 championship game as a 2.5 point favorite with the total set at 138.0. Both teams have elite defensive capabilities, but Arizona’s offensive balance and clutch shot making give the Wildcats a slight edge.
Houston’s defensive pressure should keep this game competitive throughout, but Arizona’s perimeter shooting and scoring depth could prove decisive late.
Expect a tight championship battle between two legitimate national title contenders.
Final Score: Arizona 70, Houston 66
Lean: Arizona -2.5
Total: Under 138.0
- NCAAB Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
