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Baker Mayfield 2026 NFL Passing Yards Prop Prediction

Baker Mayfield targets another big passing season in Tampa Bay.

(Photo by Getty Images) Baker Mayfield
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Baker Mayfield 2026 NFL Season Preview

Baker Mayfield enters the 2026-27 NFL season in full contract-year mode after Tampa Bay finished 8-9 and extension talks stalled. With free agency potentially waiting in 2027, every game carries added weight for both Mayfield and bettors evaluating Buccaneers season futures, quarterback props and team win totals.

The offense also looks different. Zac Robinson becomes Mayfield’s fourth offensive coordinator in four seasons and plans to lean into RPOs, bootlegs and movement throws. Mike Evans is gone, leaving Chris Godwin Jr. as the veteran centerpiece alongside Emeka Egbuka, Tez Johnson, Jalen McMillan and Cade Otton. Tampa Bay’s betting outlook may ultimately hinge on how quickly Mayfield adjusts to another new scheme and a reshaped receiving corps.

Baker Mayfield Personal information:

Position: Quarterback
Birthplace: Austin, TX
Height / Weight:  6-1, 215 lbs
Age: 31
School: Oklahoma
Draft Info: 2018: Rd 1, Pk 1 (CLE)
Experience: 9 years

2025-26 Baker Mayfield NFL Statistics

Game CMP% Yards AVG Y/G LNG TD INT Rate
17 63.2 3693 6.8 217.2 77 26 11 90.6

2025-26 Baker Mayfield Games Results

Date vs Score CMP Att Yds TD INT LNG
Jan 3 vs CAR
W 16-14
16 22 203 1 1 22
Dec 28 @MIA
L 20-17
33 44 346 2 2 59
Dec 21 @CAR
L 23-20
18 26 145 1 1 40
Dec 11 vs ATL
L 29-28
19 34 277 2 1 45
Dec 7 vs NO
L 24-20
14 30 122 1 1 24
Nov 30 vs ARI
W 20-17
18 28 194 1 0 31
Nov 23 @LAR
L 34-7
9 19 41 1 2 14
Nov 16 @BUF
L 44-32
16 28 173 1 1 28
Nov 9 vs NE
L 28-23
28 43 273 3 0 31
Oct 26 @NO
W 23-3
15 24 152 0 0 24
Oct 20 @DET
L 24-9
28 50 228 1 1 30
Oct 12 vs SF
W 30-19
17 23 256 2 0 45
Oct 5 @SEA
W 38-35
29 33 379 2 0 57
Sep 28 vs PHI
L 31-25
22 40 289 2 1 77
Sep 21 vs NYJ
W 29-27
19 29 233 1 0 30
Sep 15 @HOU
W 20-19
25 38 215 2 0 22
Sep 7 @ATL
W 23-20
17 32 167 3 0 30

2026-27 Baker Mayfield NFL Season Props

Regular Season MVPLive odds
Baker Mayfield   +4000

Offensive Player of the YearLive Odds
Baker Mayfield   +40000

Regular Season Passing YardsLive Odds
Over 3550½ yards   +100
Under 3550½ yards   -130

Regular Season Passing TD’sLive Odds
Over 25½   -105
Under 25½   -125

Regular Season Most Passing YardsLive Odds
Baker Mayfield   +2500

Regular Season Most Passing TouchdownsLive Odds
Baker Mayfield   +3000

Favorite bets on Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Over 3,550½ passing yards looks like a strong season-long bet. He topped 3,693 yards even in an injury-affected 2025 and has cleared this mark throughout his Tampa Bay run. With Zac Robinson installing a pass-friendly system and Mayfield playing for his next contract, my prediction is another 3,700-plus yard season and an Over cash.

Free Pick: Total Passing Yards – Over 3550.5 (+100)

  • NFL Odds According to Bovada as of August, 2026

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