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Safiullin vs Alcaraz US Open Matchup
Matchup: (99) Roman Safiullin vs (2) Carlos Alcaraz
When: Aug 31 2026, at 12:40 PM
Tournament: US Open
Stage: Round of 128
Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center
Location: New York City, New York
Tennis Match Odds, Spread, Moneyline & Total
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Game Spread
Roman Safiullin 6.0 (-130)
Carlos Alcaraz -6.0 (EVEN)
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Moneyline
Roman Safiullin +350
Carlos Alcaraz -450
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Total
Over 37.0 (-115)
Under 37.0 (-115)
Go to the Prediction here
(Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!)
Safiullin vs Alcaraz ATP Tennis Preview
Carlos Alcaraz opens his US Open title defense against Roman Safiullin after a 138-day singles layoff caused by a right wrist injury. Alcaraz is still 22-3 this season, but bettors have to price in rust, especially with the H2H tied 1-1 and Safiullin owning the lone hard-court victory.
Safiullin is just 3-5 on hard courts this year and has lost nine straight matches against Top-10 opponents. That makes the upset case difficult, but not completely ridiculous. If Alcaraz’s wrist holds up and his timing returns quickly, the defending champion should eventually take control.
Safiullin vs Alcaraz Matchups Props
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Game Spread
Roman Safiullin – S1 1.5 (+125)
Carlos Alcaraz – S1 -1.5 (-165)
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Moneyline
Roman Safiullin – S1 +210
Carlos Alcaraz – S1 -285
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Total
Over – S1 10.5 (+225)
Under – S1 10.5 (-310)
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Match Specials
Safiullin To Win & Over 42.5 Total Games +750
Safiullin To Win & Under 42.5 Total Games +800
Alcaraz To Win & Over 34.5 Total Games +125
Alcaraz To Win & Under 34.5 Total Games +120
Safiullin To Win Every Set 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2 +300000
Safiullin To Win Every Set 6-3 or 6-4 +20000
Safiullin To Win Every Set 7-5 or 7-6 +70000
Safiullin To Win Every Set 7-6 +150000
Alcaraz To Win Every Set 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2 +6000
Alcaraz To Win Every Set 6-3 or 6-4 +1500
Alcaraz To Win Every Set 7-5 or 7-6 +15000
Alcaraz To Win Every Set 7-6 +60000
Safiullin To Win His First 2 Service Games To 0 or 15 +750
Alcaraz To Win His First 2 Service Games To 0 or 15 +320
Both Players Opening Service Games To Go To Deuce +1100
Both Players To Face A Break Point In Their Opening Service Game +575
Match To Go To A Final Set Tie Break +1800
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Alternate Total Games
Over 35.5 (-125)
Under 35.5 (-105)
Over 36.0 (-130)
Under 36.0 (EVEN)
Over 36.5 (-120)
Under 36.5 (-110)
Over 37.5 (-110)
Under 37.5 (-120)
Over 38.0 (EVEN)
Under 38.0 (-130)
Over 38.5 (+115)
Under 38.5 (-150)
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Alternate Total Games
Over – S1 8.5 (-385)
Under – S1 8.5 (+265)
Over – S1 12.5 (+350)
Under – S1 12.5 (-550)
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Total Games O/U – Carlos Alcaraz
Over 20.5 (-110)
Under 20.5 (-120)
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Total Games O/U – Roman Safiullin
Over 16.5 (-110)
Under 16.5 (-120)
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Total Games O/U
Over – S1 9.5 (-130)
Under – S1 9.5 (EVEN)
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Alternate Game Spread
Roman Safiullin 4.5 (+135)
Carlos Alcaraz -4.5 (-175)
Roman Safiullin 5.0 (+120)
Carlos Alcaraz -5.0 (-155)
Roman Safiullin 5.5 (EVEN)
Carlos Alcaraz -5.5 (-130)
Roman Safiullin 6.5 (-165)
Carlos Alcaraz -6.5 (+125)
Roman Safiullin 7.5 (-225)
Carlos Alcaraz -7.5 (+170)
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Alternate Game Spread
Roman Safiullin – S1 -1.5 (+280)
Carlos Alcaraz – S1 1.5 (-410)
Roman Safiullin – S1 3.5 (-525)
Carlos Alcaraz – S1 -3.5 (+340)
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Set Betting
Roman Safiullin 3 – 0 +1400
Roman Safiullin 3 – 1 +1000
Roman Safiullin 3 – 2 +900
Carlos Alcaraz 3 – 0 +117
Carlos Alcaraz 3 – 1 +240
Carlos Alcaraz 3 – 2 +500
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Set Spread
Roman Safiullin 2.5 (-190)
Carlos Alcaraz -2.5 (+145)
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Alternate Set Spread
Roman Safiullin 1.5 (+160)
Carlos Alcaraz -1.5 (-210)
Roman Safiullin -1.5 (+600)
Carlos Alcaraz 1.5 (-1100)
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Total Sets
Over 3.5 (-165)
Under 3.5 (+125)
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Alternate Total Sets
Over 4.5 (+265)
Under 4.5 (-385)
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Set Correct Score
Roman Safiullin – 6 – 0 – S1 +12500
Roman Safiullin – 6 – 1 – S1 +5000
Roman Safiullin – 6 – 2 – S1 +2800
Roman Safiullin – 6 – 3 – S1 +725
Roman Safiullin – 6 – 4 – S1 +1200
Roman Safiullin – 7 – 5 – S1 +2500
Roman Safiullin – 7 – 6 – S1 +1000
Carlos Alcaraz – 6 – 0 – S1 +3500
Carlos Alcaraz – 6 – 1 – S1 +1300
Carlos Alcaraz – 6 – 2 – S1 +575
Carlos Alcaraz – 6 – 3 – S1 +600
Carlos Alcaraz – 6 – 4 – S1 +280
Carlos Alcaraz – 7 – 5 – S1 +1200
Carlos Alcaraz – 7 – 6 – S1 +625
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
1st Set Correct Score – Any Player
6-0 +2200
6-1 +900
6-2 +400
6-3 +330
6-4 +220
7-5 +750
7-6 +450
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
1st Set Correct Score Groups
Roman Safiullin 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2 +1400
Roman Safiullin 6-3 or 6-4 +500
Roman Safiullin 7-5 or 7-6 +800
Carlos Alcaraz 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2 +300
Carlos Alcaraz 6-3 or 6-4 +160
Carlos Alcaraz 7-5 or 7-6 +450
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Tiebreak In Set
Yes – S1 +320
No – S1 -485
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
To Lose 1st Set & Win The Match
Roman Safiullin +1000
Carlos Alcaraz +350
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
To Win 1st Set & Win The Match
Roman Safiullin +600
Carlos Alcaraz -225
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
To Win & Both Players To Win A Set
Roman Safiullin +500
Carlos Alcaraz +120
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Will there be a tie-break in the match?
Yes -105
No -125
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Total Match Tie Breaks
Over 1.5 +600
Under 1.5 -1250
Over 2.5 +1600
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Correct Score After 2 Games
Roman Safiullin 2-0 +650
Carlos Alcaraz 2-0 +240
Draw 1-1 -200
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Correct Score After 4 Games
Roman Safiullin 4-0 +3300
Roman Safiullin 3-1 +500
Carlos Alcaraz 4-0 +1000
Carlos Alcaraz 3-1 +175
Draw 2-2 +105
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Correct Score After 6 Games
Roman Safiullin 6-0 +8000
Roman Safiullin 5-1 +2000
Roman Safiullin 4-2 +450
Carlos Alcaraz 6-0 +2500
Carlos Alcaraz 5-1 +500
Carlos Alcaraz 4-2 +175
Draw 3-3 +160
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Lead After 4 Games
Roman Safiullin +450
Carlos Alcaraz +130
Tie +105
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Lead After 6 Games
Roman Safiullin +375
Carlos Alcaraz EVEN
Tie +160
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Odd/Even Total Games
Even -130
Odd +110
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Roman Safiullin – 1st Service Game
To Hold Serve -275
To Be Broken +200
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Roman Safiullin – 1st Service Game Score
Hold to Love +600
Hold to 15 +350
Hold to 30 +330
Hold to 40 +350
Broken to Love +2200
Broken to 15 +1000
Broken to 30 +650
Broken to 40 +700
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Roman Safiullin – 1st Service Game – Score After 2 Points
Roman Safiullin 30-0 +160
15-15 -110
Carlos Alcaraz 0-30 +400
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Roman Safiullin – 1st Service Game – To Face Break Point
Yes +110
No -145
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz – 1st Service Game
To Hold Serve -700
To Be Broken +425
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz – 1st Service Game Score
Hold to Love +350
Hold to 15 +240
Hold to 30 +300
Hold to 40 +375
Broken to Love +4000
Broken to 15 +1800
Broken to 30 +1100
Broken to 40 +1400
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz – 1st Service Game – Score After 2 Points
Carlos Alcaraz 30-0 +110
15-15 EVEN
Roman Safiullin 0-30 +600
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz – 1st Service Game – To Face Break Point
Yes +225
No -310
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
First Service Break
Roman Safiullin +225
Carlos Alcaraz -310
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Will Carlos Alcaraz Win At Least One Set?
Yes -3300
No +1200
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Will Roman Safiullin Win At Least One Set?
Yes -185
No +140
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US Open ATP Tennis Predictions
Tennis Pick: Alcaraz To Win & Over 34.5 Total Games (+125)
A $100 Bet on that Props will return $225
Tennis Odds & Props source: Bovada Sportsbook
