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Keys vs Korneeva US Open Matchup
Matchup: (22) Madison Keys vs (69) Alina Korneeva
When: Sep 1 2026, at 11:30 AM
Tournament: US Open
Stage: Round of 128
Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center
Location: New York City, New York
Tennis Match Odds, Spread, Moneyline & Total
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Game Spread
Madison Keys -4.0 (-125)
Alina Korneeva 4.0 (-105)
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Moneyline
Madison Keys -275
Alina Korneeva +220
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Total
Over 20.5 (-115)
Under 20.5 (-115)
Go to the Prediction here
(Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!)
Keys vs Korneeva WTA Tennis Preview
Madison Keys opens her US Open against 19-year-old Alina Korneeva in a fascinating power-versus-momentum matchup. Keys owns the bigger serve, winning 60.4% of her service points on hard courts this season, and brings the experience of a 15th US Open appearance.
Korneeva has exploded into the Top 70 after starting the year outside the Top 200, making deep runs in Athens and Toronto. Her return game is dangerous, winning 54.9% of return points on hard courts. Still, Keys’ proven Grand Slam résumé and first-strike power give her the stronger betting profile at Arthur Ashe Stadium.
Keys vs Korneeva Matchups Props
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Game Spread
Madison Keys – S1 -1.5 (-170)
Alina Korneeva – S1 1.5 (+130)
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Moneyline
Madison Keys – S1 -225
Alina Korneeva – S1 +170
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Total
Over – S1 8.5 (-230)
Under – S1 8.5 (+175)
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Match Specials
Madison Keys To Win & Under 20.5 Total Games +160
Madison Keys To Win & Over 20.5 Total Games +140
Alina Korneeva To Win & Under 24.5 Total Games +550
Alina Korneeva To Win & Over 24.5 Total Games +500
Madison Keys To Win Every Set 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2 +1300
Alina Korneeva To Win Every Set 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2 +10000
Madison Keys To Win Every Set 6-3 or 6-4 +800
Alina Korneeva To Win Every Set 6-3 or 6-4 +3000
Madison Keys To Win Every Set 7-5 or 7-6 +3500
Alina Korneeva To Win Every Set 7-5 or 7-6 +7000
Madison Keys To Win Every Set 7-6 +10000
Alina Korneeva To Win Every Set 7-6 +15000
Madison Keys To Win Their First 2 Service Games To 0 or 15 +575
Alina Korneeva To Win Their First 2 Service Games To 0 or 15 +1000
Both Players Opening Service Games To Go To Deuce +900
Both Players To Face A Break Point In Their Opening Service Game +375
Match To Go To A Final set tie Break +1400
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Alternate Total Games
Over 18.5 (-210)
Under 18.5 (+160)
Over 19.5 (-155)
Under 19.5 (+120)
Over 20.0 (-135)
Under 20.0 (+105)
Over 21.0 (EVEN)
Under 21.0 (-130)
Over 21.5 (+110)
Under 21.5 (-145)
Over 22.5 (+125)
Under 22.5 (-165)
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Alternate Total Games
Over – S1 10.5 (+315)
Under – S1 10.5 (-475)
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Total Games O/U – Alina Korneeva
Over 10.0 (-115)
Under 10.0 (-115)
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Total Games O/U – Madison Keys
Over 12.5 (+105)
Under 12.5 (-135)
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Total Games O/U
Over – S1 9.5 (+110)
Under – S1 9.5 (-145)
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Alternate Game Spread
Madison Keys -2.5 (-200)
Alina Korneeva 2.5 (+150)
Madison Keys -3.0 (-175)
Alina Korneeva 3.0 (+135)
Madison Keys -3.5 (-150)
Alina Korneeva 3.5 (+115)
Madison Keys -4.5 (EVEN)
Alina Korneeva 4.5 (-130)
Madison Keys -5.0 (+130)
Alina Korneeva 5.0 (-170)
Madison Keys -5.5 (+145)
Alina Korneeva 5.5 (-190)
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Alternate Game Spread
Madison Keys – S1 1.5 (-285)
Alina Korneeva – S1 -1.5 (+210)
Madison Keys – S1 -3.5 (+255)
Alina Korneeva – S1 3.5 (-360)
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Set Betting
Madison Keys 2 – 0 -117
Madison Keys 2 – 1 +300
Alina Korneeva 2 – 0 +405
Alina Korneeva 2 – 1 +525
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Set Spread
Madison Keys -1.5 (-115)
Alina Korneeva 1.5 (-115)
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Alternate Set Spread
Madison Keys 1.5 (-700)
Alina Korneeva -1.5 (+425)
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Total Sets
Over 2.5 (+170)
Under 2.5 (-225)
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Set Correct Score
Madison Keys – 6 – 0 – S1 +2000
Madison Keys – 6 – 1 – S1 +775
Madison Keys – 6 – 2 – S1 +550
Madison Keys – 6 – 3 – S1 +475
Madison Keys – 6 – 4 – S1 +500
Madison Keys – 7 – 5 – S1 +1200
Madison Keys – 7 – 6 – S1 +1100
Alina Korneeva – 6 – 0 – S1 +7000
Alina Korneeva – 6 – 1 – S1 +2300
Alina Korneeva – 6 – 2 – S1 +1400
Alina Korneeva – 6 – 3 – S1 +1000
Alina Korneeva – 6 – 4 – S1 +800
Alina Korneeva – 7 – 5 – S1 +1900
Alina Korneeva – 7 – 6 – S1 +1400
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
1st Set Correct Score – Any Player
6-0 +1800
6-1 +650
6-2 +400
6-3 +275
6-4 +275
7-5 +700
7-6 +550
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
1st Set Correct Score Groups
Madison Keys 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2 +275
Madison Keys 6-3 or 6-4 +200
Madison Keys 7-5 or 7-6 +500
Alina Korneeva 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2 +900
Alina Korneeva 6-3 or 6-4 +450
Alina Korneeva 7-5 or 7-6 +750
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Set Exacta
Madison Keys WW -115
Madison Keys WLW +550
Madison Keys LWW +550
Alina Korneeva WW +425
Alina Korneeva WLW +900
Alina Korneeva LWW +900
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Tiebreak In Set
Yes – S1 +500
No – S1 -900
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
To Lose 1st Set & Win The Match
Madison Keys +550
Alina Korneeva +900
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
To Win 1st Set & Win The Match
Madison Keys -175
Alina Korneeva +330
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Will there be a tie-break in the match?
Yes +280
No -410
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Total Match Tie Breaks
Over 1.5 +1100
Under 1.5 -2800
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Correct Score After 2 Games
Madison Keys 2-0 +220
Alina Korneeva 2-0 +450
Draw 1-1 -155
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Correct Score After 4 Games
Madison Keys 4-0 +850
Madison Keys 3-1 +185
Alina Korneeva 4-0 +2200
Alina Korneeva 3-1 +375
Draw 2-2 +130
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Correct Score After 6 Games
Madison Keys 6-0 +2200
Madison Keys 5-1 +500
Madison Keys 4-2 +200
Alina Korneeva 6-0 +5000
Alina Korneeva 5-1 +1400
Alina Korneeva 4-2 +400
Draw 3-3 +185
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Lead After 4 Games
Madison Keys +130
Alina Korneeva +330
Tie +130
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Lead After 6 Games
Madison Keys EVEN
Alina Korneeva +300
Tie +185
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Odd/Even Total Games
Even -110
Odd -110
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Madison Keys – 1st Service Game
To Hold Serve -400
To Be Broken +275
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Madison Keys – 1st Service Game Score
Hold to Love +500
Hold to 15 +300
Hold to 30 +300
Hold to 40 +350
Broken to Love +2800
Broken to 15 +1200
Broken to 30 +800
Broken to 40 +900
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Madison Keys – 1st Service Game – Score After 2 Points
Madison Keys 30-0 +150
15-15 -110
Alina Korneeva 0-30 +450
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Madison Keys – 1st Service Game – To Face Break Point
Yes +150
No -200
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Alina Korneeva – 1st Service Game
To Hold Serve -200
To Be Broken +150
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Alina Korneeva – 1st Service Game Score
Hold to Love +750
Hold to 15 +400
Hold to 30 +350
Hold to 40 +375
Broken to Love +1800
Broken to 15 +800
Broken to 30 +600
Broken to 40 +600
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Alina Korneeva – 1st Service Game – Score After 2 Points
Alina Korneeva 30-0 +200
15-15 -110
Madison Keys 0-30 +350
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Alina Korneeva – 1st Service Game – To Face Break Point
Yes -110
No -120
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
First Service Break
Madison Keys -175
Alina Korneeva +135
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Will Alina Korneeva Win At Least One Set?
Yes -115
No -115
Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
Will Madison Keys Win At Least One Set?
Yes -700
No +425
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US Open WTA Tennis Predictions
Tennis Pick: Madison Keys To Win & Over 20.5 Total Games (+140)
A $100 Bet on that Props will return $240
Tennis Odds & Props source: Bovada Sportsbook
