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Bublik vs Paul US Open Matchup
Matchup: (15) Alexander Bublik vs (20) Tommy Paul
When: Sep 4 2026, at 12:10 PM – approximately
Tournament: US Open
Stage: Round of 32
Venue: Louis Armstrong Stadium
Location: New York City, New York
Tennis Match Odds, Spread, Moneyline & Total
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Game Spread
Alexander Bublik 3.0 (-120)
Tommy Paul -3.0 (-110)
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Moneyline
Alexander Bublik +145
Tommy Paul -175
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Total
Over 40.5 (-115)
Under 40.5 (-115)
Go to the Prediction here
(Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!)
Bublik vs Paul ATP Tennis Preview
Alexander Bublik and Tommy Paul meet again in the US Open third round after last year’s five-set marathon ended with Bublik advancing. Paul still owns a 5-2 career head-to-head edge, but that New York loss gives bettors plenty to consider in this rematch.
Bublik’s booming serve and unpredictable shot selection make him dangerous, while Paul brings superior consistency and home-crowd support. With Paul already logging longer matches and Bublik arriving fresher, this could turn into another grind. Bublik on the game spread or the match to go over the total games both offer betting appeal.
Bublik vs Paul Matchups Props
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Game Spread
Alexander Bublik – S1 1.5 (-135)
Tommy Paul – S1 -1.5 (+105)
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Moneyline
Alexander Bublik – S1 +120
Tommy Paul – S1 -155
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Total
Over – S1 10.5 (+190)
Under – S1 10.5 (-260)
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Match Specials
Bublik To Win & Over 40.5 Total Games +325
Bublik To Win & Under 40.5 Total Games +375
Paul To Win & Over 37.5 Total Games +185
Paul To Win & Under 37.5 Total Games +200
Bublik To Win Every Set 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2 +150000
Bublik To Win Every Set 6-3 or 6-4 +8000
Bublik To Win Every Set 7-5 or 7-6 +27500
Bublik To Win Every Set 7-6 +55000
Paul To Win Every Set 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2 +45000
Paul To Win Every Set 6-3 or 6-4 +3800
Paul To Win Every Set 7-5 or 7-6 +15000
Paul To Win Every Set 7-6 +35000
Bublik To Win His First 2 Service Games To 0 or 15 +350
Paul To Win His First 2 Service Games To 0 or 15 +300
Both Players Opening Service Games To Go To Deuce +1400
Both Players To Face A Break Point In Their Opening Service Game +900
Match To Go To A Final Set Tie Break +1200
Bublik To Win Every Set 6-0, 6-1, 6-2, 6-3 or 6-4 +3000
Paul To Win Every Set 6-0, 6-1, 6-2, 6-3 or 6-4 +1000
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Alternate Total Games
Over 39.5 (-135)
Under 39.5 (+105)
Over 40.0 (-125)
Under 40.0 (-105)
Over 41.0 (-105)
Under 41.0 (-125)
Over 41.5 (+105)
Under 41.5 (-135)
Over 42.5 (+120)
Under 42.5 (-155)
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Alternate Total Games
Over – S1 8.5 (-550)
Under – S1 8.5 (+350)
Over – S1 12.5 (+290)
Under – S1 12.5 (-435)
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Total Games O/U – Alexander Bublik
Over 20.0 (-110)
Under 20.0 (-120)
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Total Games O/U – Tommy Paul
Over 21.0 (-125)
Under 21.0 (-105)
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Total Games O/U
Over – S1 9.5 (-155)
Under – S1 9.5 (+120)
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Alternate Game Spread
Alexander Bublik 1.5 (+110)
Tommy Paul -1.5 (-145)
Alexander Bublik 2.0 (+105)
Tommy Paul -2.0 (-135)
Alexander Bublik 2.5 (-105)
Tommy Paul -2.5 (-125)
Alexander Bublik 3.5 (-130)
Tommy Paul -3.5 (EVEN)
Alexander Bublik 4.0 (-155)
Tommy Paul -4.0 (+120)
Alexander Bublik 4.5 (-170)
Tommy Paul -4.5 (+130)
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Alternate Game Spread
Alexander Bublik – S1 -1.5 (+180)
Tommy Paul – S1 1.5 (-240)
Alexander Bublik – S1 -3.5 (+1000)
Tommy Paul – S1 3.5 (-2500)
Alexander Bublik – S1 3.5 (-1000)
Tommy Paul – S1 -3.5 (+550)
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Set Betting
Alexander Bublik 3 – 0 +600
Alexander Bublik 3 – 1 +475
Alexander Bublik 3 – 2 +525
Tommy Paul 3 – 0 +255
Tommy Paul 3 – 1 +295
Tommy Paul 3 – 2 +430
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Set Spread
Alexander Bublik 1.5 (-145)
Tommy Paul -1.5 (+110)
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Alternate Set Spread
Alexander Bublik -1.5 (+265)
Tommy Paul 1.5 (-385)
Alexander Bublik -2.5 (+700)
Tommy Paul 2.5 (-1400)
Alexander Bublik 2.5 (-460)
Tommy Paul -2.5 (+305)
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Total Sets
Over 4.5 (+190)
Under 4.5 (-260)
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Alternate Total Sets
Over 3.5 (-275)
Under 3.5 (+200)
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Set Correct Score
Alexander Bublik – 6 – 0 – S1 +10000
Alexander Bublik – 6 – 1 – S1 +3500
Alexander Bublik – 6 – 2 – S1 +1800
Alexander Bublik – 6 – 3 – S1 +675
Alexander Bublik – 6 – 4 – S1 +625
Alexander Bublik – 7 – 5 – S1 +1900
Alexander Bublik – 7 – 6 – S1 +650
Tommy Paul – 6 – 0 – S1 +8000
Tommy Paul – 6 – 1 – S1 +1900
Tommy Paul – 6 – 2 – S1 +1000
Tommy Paul – 6 – 3 – S1 +525
Tommy Paul – 6 – 4 – S1 +420
Tommy Paul – 7 – 5 – S1 +1400
Tommy Paul – 7 – 6 – S1 +550
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
1st Set Correct Score – Any Player
6-0 +4000
6-1 +1100
6-2 +600
6-3 +275
6-4 +225
7-5 +800
7-6 +300
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
1st Set Correct Score Groups
Alexander Bublik 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2 +1000
Alexander Bublik 6-3 or 6-4 +300
Alexander Bublik 7-5 or 7-6 +500
Tommy Paul 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2 +600
Tommy Paul 6-3 or 6-4 +210
Tommy Paul 7-5 or 7-6 +400
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Tiebreak In Set
Yes – S1 +250
No – S1 -350
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
To Lose 1st Set & Win The Match
Alexander Bublik +650
Tommy Paul +500
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
To Win 1st Set & Win The Match
Alexander Bublik +220
Tommy Paul -105
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
To Win & Both Players To Win A Set
Alexander Bublik +240
Tommy Paul +160
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Will there be a tie-break in the match?
Yes -145
No +110
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Total Match Tie Breaks
Over 1.5 +300
Under 1.5 -450
Over 2.5 +900
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Correct Score After 2 Games
Alexander Bublik 2-0 +600
Tommy Paul 2-0 +400
Draw 1-1 -300
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Correct Score After 4 Games
Alexander Bublik 4-0 +3300
Alexander Bublik 3-1 +375
Tommy Paul 4-0 +2000
Tommy Paul 3-1 +260
Draw 2-2 -135
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Correct Score After 6 Games
Alexander Bublik 6-0 +10000
Alexander Bublik 5-1 +1600
Alexander Bublik 4-2 +325
Tommy Paul 6-0 +7500
Tommy Paul 5-1 +1000
Tommy Paul 4-2 +225
Draw 3-3 +110
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Lead After 4 Games
Alexander Bublik +350
Tommy Paul +225
Tie -135
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Lead After 6 Games
Alexander Bublik +275
Tommy Paul +175
Tie +110
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Odd/Even Total Games
Even -110
Odd -110
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Alexander Bublik – 1st Service Game
To Hold Serve -550
To Be Broken +350
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Alexander Bublik – 1st Service Game Score
Hold to Love +400
Hold to 15 +260
Hold to 30 +300
Hold to 40 +350
Broken to Love +4000
Broken to 15 +1600
Broken to 30 +1000
Broken to 40 +1200
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Alexander Bublik – 1st Service Game – Score After 2 Points
Alexander Bublik 30-0 +120
15-15 EVEN
Tommy Paul 0-30 +550
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Alexander Bublik – 1st Service Game – To Face Break Point
Yes +200
No -275
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul – 1st Service Game
To Hold Serve -900
To Be Broken +500
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul – 1st Service Game Score
Hold to Love +325
Hold to 15 +225
Hold to 30 +300
Hold to 40 +375
Broken to Love +4000
Broken to 15 +2000
Broken to 30 +1200
Broken to 40 +1600
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul – 1st Service Game – Score After 2 Points
Tommy Paul 30-0 EVEN
15-15 +110
Alexander Bublik 0-30 +700
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul – 1st Service Game – To Face Break Point
Yes +250
No -350
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
First Service Break
Alexander Bublik +120
Tommy Paul -155
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Will Alexander Bublik Win At Least One Set?
Yes -350
No +250
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
Will Tommy Paul Win At Least One Set?
Yes -1000
No +550
- Tennis Futures odds & props
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US Open ATP Tennis Predictions
Tennis Pick: Alternate Total Games –
Over 41.5 (+105)
A $100 Bet on that Props will return $205
Tennis Odds & Props source: Bovada Sportsbook
