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Aces vs Wings WNBA Expert Betting Picks

Can Las Vegas bounce back at home against Dallas?

(Photo by Getty Images) Jackie Young
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Dallas (11-6) at Las Vegas (12-5)

  • When: Jun 25 2026, 10:00 PM
  • Where: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Paradise, NV, USA
  • TV: NBA TV

Dallas vs Las Vegas Preview & Prediction

Spread: Las Vegas -5.5
Moneyline: Las Vegas (-220)
Total: 178.0

Thursday’s WNBA spotlight lands in Las Vegas as the Aces attempt to rebound from a disappointing home loss while the surging Dallas Wings look to prove their recent success is no fluke. Las Vegas enters as a 5.5-point favorite, with the total set at 178.0, but this matchup carries plenty of intrigue after Dallas dominated the previous meeting earlier this month.

The betting market still respects the Aces, but Dallas has quietly become one of the league’s most dangerous teams, creating value for bettors looking beyond the standings.

Dallas Wings Betting Preview

The Wings travel to Las Vegas full of confidence after one of their most entertaining victories of the season. Dallas outlasted Seattle 112-110 in overtime, showcasing the explosive offensive firepower that has fueled its recent surge.

Leading the way continues to be second-year sensation Paige Bueckers. She erupted for 27 points in the overtime thriller and continues to establish herself among the WNBA’s elite young guards. Rookie Azzi Fudd enjoyed the finest performance of her professional career, scoring a career-high 26 points while displaying the scoring touch that made her one of college basketball’s biggest stars.

Dallas has now won three of its last four contests and currently sits just one game behind Las Vegas in the standings. That rapid improvement has changed how opponents approach the Wings. They’re no longer catching anyone by surprise.

The biggest confidence boost came on June 15 when Dallas embarrassed the Aces 96-66. Arike Ogunbowale led that victory with 22 points while Fudd added 19 points on an incredibly efficient 8-for-9 shooting performance. Jessica Shepard nearly recorded a triple-double with 15 points, 15 rebounds and nine assists, completely controlling the interior throughout the game.

The Wings have become much more balanced offensively, with multiple players capable of taking over stretches of the game. That versatility makes them extremely dangerous against aggressive defensive teams like Las Vegas.

Dallas Wings Player Prop Pick: Paige Bueckers Over 18.5 Points
Bueckers continues to carry the offensive load and enters this matchup playing her best basketball of the season. Expect Dallas to put the ball in her hands early and often.

Las Vegas Aces Betting Preview

The Aces rarely stay down for long, which makes Thursday’s matchup especially interesting. Becky Hammon’s squad is coming off an 87-76 loss to the New York Liberty, a performance that lacked the urgency typically associated with one of the WNBA’s premier franchises.

Jackie Young paced the offense with 19 points while A’ja Wilson finished with 16, but outside of Cheyenne Parker-Tyus, nearly every Las Vegas player finished with a negative plus-minus rating. The offensive rhythm simply never materialized.

Hammon emphasized afterward that her team waited too long to match New York’s intensity. That message should resonate heading into another important home game before next week’s Commissioner’s Cup Final.

Despite the recent defeat, Las Vegas remains one of the league’s most talented rosters. Wilson continues to anchor both ends of the floor, while Young and Jewell Loyd provide reliable scoring support. The previous loss to Dallas should also provide extra motivation after the Aces were held to one of their lowest scoring outputs of the season.

Expect a far more focused effort from the opening tip as Las Vegas attempts to avoid dropping consecutive home games.

Las Vegas Aces Player Prop Pick: Jackie Young Over 16.5 Points
Her aggressive shot selection and ability to create offense make the points over an attractive betting option in this matchup.

WNBA Final Score & Expert Prediction

Dallas has all the momentum, but Las Vegas owns the experience, home-court advantage, and the urgency that often follows a disappointing loss. Expect a much tighter contest than the previous meeting, with the Aces responding behind their veteran stars.

Final Score: Aces 93, Wings 85
Lean: Las Vegas Aces -5.5
Total: 
Over 178.0 

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